Market · 9 of 42 outcomes
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x837v626Ca0289j77j729K2pm38B0x1817…2ca2 | Yes | 366,760 | 1.2¢ | $3.12K | New1 settled bet |
| 0xda36…fe3d | Yes | 162,032 | 0.9¢ | $1.38K | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,280 | 98.5¢ | $1.27K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| 0x6013…1025 | Yes | 126,101 | 2.0¢ | $1.07K | New1 settled bet |
| mignonpignon0x6fb2…7adf | Yes | 100,886 | 1.0¢ | $858 | Losing−$1.07 per $100 · 478 bets |
| LuciusQuinctiusCincinnatus0xf287…6941 | No | 529 | 94.4¢ | $525 | — |
| Gstyuunep0x7153…363b | No | 407 | 98.3¢ | $404 | New21 settled bets |
| ndebock0x91f9…a726 | Yes | 33,000 | 2.8¢ | $280 | — |
| Hannah37010x1380…e917 | No | 207 | 99.0¢ | $205 | New52 settled bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 200 | 94.3¢ | $198 | New69 settled bets |
| lavoyante0x2674…6736 | Yes | 23,038 | 2.0¢ | $196 | New0 settled bets |
| Arimondz0x5dcc…619c | Yes | 20,339 | 1.5¢ | $173 | New30 settled bets |
| roscoff0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | 19,362 | 1.7¢ | $165 | Positive+$7.48 per $100 · 1,105 bets |
| 0x54f2…4a6d | Yes | 16,490 | 1.9¢ | $140 | New1 settled bet |
| locklihead0x6619…0a5d | Yes | 15,076 | 1.2¢ | $128 | New12 settled bets |
| Kisher0x7be4…8477 | Yes | 14,744 | 0.9¢ | $125 | Positive+$2.50 per $100 · 1,984 bets |
| Tordenskjold.17160x8ffb…1b73 | Yes | 14,700 | 2.1¢ | $125 | — |
| 0xe146…5f5f | No | 123 | 99.0¢ | $122 | — |
| 0xd7ae…4bb8 | No | 117 | 99.1¢ | $116 | — |
| 0x526d…5cf0 | No | 116 | 99.1¢ | $115 | New4 settled bets |
| 0x1355…8278 | No | 116 | 99.1¢ | $115 | New4 settled bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.7¢ | $102 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| SommerSommer0x16ba…f14f | No | 100 | 96.5¢ | $99 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 349 bets |
| redrocks0x4807…cadb | No | 100 | 98.1¢ | $99 | New31 settled bets |
| ScndThss0xdb83…f82a | No | 100 | 96.2¢ | $99 | — |
| Citinox0x7409…37a8 | Yes | 10,592 | 2.4¢ | $90 | New51 settled bets |
| myth39480x9529…4c83 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.9¢ | $85 | New0 settled bets |
| bettingprooo0xc1f2…440f | Yes | 10,000 | 5.6¢ | $85 | — |
| 0xe143…1dc6 | Yes | 8,256 | 9.4¢ | $70 | — |
| montosolver0x324d…b08f | Yes | 8,244 | 1.2¢ | $70 | New0 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,922 | 0.8¢ | $59 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,293 bets |
| fisceth0x94a8…5b11 | Yes | 6,783 | 3.0¢ | $58 | — |
| OrYn640x4d76…d7a0 | Yes | 6,700 | 1.5¢ | $57 | New47 settled bets |
| 0x81c0x2017…d074 | No | 50 | 96.2¢ | $50 | New50 settled bets |
| dundukvvz0x0d3e…52c5 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $50 | New12 settled bets |
| Swaisu0x1045…525a | No | 50 | 99.1¢ | $50 | New9 settled bets |
| brambljack0x1b38…c023 | No | 50 | 99.1¢ | $50 | New17 settled bets |
| lomaikova993590x281b…0d88 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $50 | New33 settled bets |
| Guzzini0x537a…30dc | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $50 | New10 settled bets |
| SALAVAT3220x5ae4…0be5 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $50 | New7 settled bets |
| tarasovalu0x6561…6f9d | No | 50 | 98.9¢ | $50 | New27 settled bets |
| phemiusg374750x7da9…2238 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $50 | New26 settled bets |
| Kulebyaka340x8ed0…addd | No | 50 | 98.9¢ | $50 | — |
| bbeerovich0xa09d…4ee0 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $50 | — |
| RaulLem0xabc6…76e5 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $50 | — |
| Tinnycartiny0xc52c…0473 | No | 50 | 98.9¢ | $50 | — |
| Rozitski0xe66d…c9a9 | No | 50 | 99.1¢ | $50 | — |
| Lakatamatat0xe6d5…f1e2 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $50 | — |
| Garmash0xe7ee…cf79 | No | 50 | 99.1¢ | $50 | — |
| dcpdenchik0xf7dc…cb7f | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $50 | — |
| milosmelly940xfa8c…9ed3 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $50 | — |
| sebfil0xee0b…ee40 | Yes | 4,920 | 2.1¢ | $42 | — |
| medfedmed0x7591…8b48 | No | 42 | 96.2¢ | $41 | New15 settled bets |
| Anybodyd0x0391…0c31 | No | 41 | 98.7¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 162 bets |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | No | 40 | 97.1¢ | $40 | — |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 40 | 93.7¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| miilong90xd440…166e | No | 40 | 98.8¢ | $40 | — |
| ommf0xf3b0…01a6 | No | 35 | 99.2¢ | $35 | — |
| 0xc780…d802 | No | 31 | 96.9¢ | $31 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 3,413 | 0.8¢ | $29 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 3,197 | 0.8¢ | $27 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| 0x685b…705a | No | 27 | 97.1¢ | $27 | New8 settled bets |
| 0xcc00…aba0 | Yes | 3,147 | 3.2¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x8a92…3b31 | Yes | 3,125 | 1.7¢ | $27 | — |
| StopLo550x05b1…0bb2 | Yes | 3,085 | 2.0¢ | $26 | New0 settled bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 2,949 | 0.9¢ | $25 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| 0x6862…693a | Yes | 2,660 | 15.0¢ | $23 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xe60e…6355 | No | 23 | 98.2¢ | $22 | — |
| dalong120xa3a6…ac15 | No | 22 | 99.0¢ | $22 | — |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.7¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 2,081 bets |
| GonTanaka20x5e67…77ad | No | 21 | 94.5¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 521 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 2,398 | 0.8¢ | $20 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,679 bets |
| chfts0x094a…6a97 | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $20 | New79 settled bets |
| dayandd10x339d…b9d9 | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $20 | New82 settled bets |
| dhoomrana0x3f07…aa73 | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $20 | New79 settled bets |
| kwbicke0x44d2…f28a | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $20 | New75 settled bets |
| jebacct0x5568…ec20 | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $20 | New76 settled bets |
| ggrenthis0x5608…156e | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $20 | New75 settled bets |
| yuniseptia960x73c2…7ebd | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $20 | New79 settled bets |
| AmyLichnerowic10x8c53…01e0 | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Patrici555531880xdfff…6129 | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xee5e…f9d4 | Yes | 2,222 | 0.9¢ | $19 | — |
| Clepsouille0xad69…3460 | Yes | 2,079 | 1.0¢ | $18 | — |
| nthglsn0xa800…fd98 | Yes | 2,000 | 1.0¢ | $17 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 1,990 | 0.5¢ | $17 | Positive+$9.92 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| Flyterhall0x02a7…624c | Yes | 1,822 | 1.1¢ | $15 | New48 settled bets |
| 0xe24d…9633 | Yes | 1,785 | 1.2¢ | $15 | — |
| Dava10x5184…1363 | Yes | 1,667 | 1.2¢ | $14 | Losing−$8.00 per $100 · 292 bets |
| Graw0x0d90…e1f6 | Yes | 1,667 | 1.2¢ | $14 | New85 settled bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 1,666 | 1.8¢ | $14 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 1,621 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| 0xd682…8f4a | Yes | 1,537 | 1.2¢ | $13 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,534 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,902 bets |
| roninnn0xac53…2a44 | Yes | 1,461 | 3.4¢ | $12 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,457 | 1.1¢ | $12 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | Yes | 1,446 | 2.6¢ | $12 | Positive+$3.20 per $100 · 4,713 bets |
| Siranox0xf9fe…d54e | Yes | 1,292 | 2.4¢ | $11 | — |
| NIMAJNEB-370x09cc…dcf9 | Yes | 1,251 | 4.0¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 109 bets |
| Exducere0x9767…03f4 | Yes | 1,202 | 2.0¢ | $10 | — |
| g432hg42hg20xef38…17b8 | Yes | 1,190 | 2.2¢ | $10 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.