Market · 7 of 7 outcomes
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| leqso04100xd5c9…586a | No | 5,219 | 95.8¢ | $5.14K | Losing−$6.41 per $100 · 171 bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 2,070 | 96.6¢ | $2.04K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| OraculumNobius0xd25b…9f3d | No | 879 | 97.7¢ | $866 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 26,314 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 567 | 92.6¢ | $558 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| Nardo990xbb9f…1893 | No | 520 | 96.0¢ | $512 | — |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 269 | 95.0¢ | $265 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| siotrotvapos19710xcfbb…ca41 | No | 195 | 92.3¢ | $192 | — |
| BloodyMummer0xffb0…fa37 | No | 180 | 94.2¢ | $178 | — |
| alexanderdeborah0x7294…1238 | No | 120 | 92.8¢ | $118 | — |
| piherzmerkve19840x8d85…30a4 | No | 119 | 92.4¢ | $117 | — |
| danawalter0xca12…6cfd | No | 119 | 95.0¢ | $117 | — |
| stanley630x3144…e51f | No | 118 | 93.0¢ | $117 | — |
| leslierichards0x4c74…2d6f | No | 118 | 94.4¢ | $116 | — |
| cwilkerson0x197e…b3f4 | No | 117 | 93.8¢ | $115 | — |
| zwalls0xf077…2f1a | No | 117 | 94.2¢ | $115 | — |
| burkesarah0x19c4…f6af | No | 115 | 95.8¢ | $113 | — |
| StephanFy0xb9df…cdbc | No | 115 | 96.8¢ | $113 | — |
| george630x8001…0cfd | No | 114 | 92.6¢ | $113 | — |
| careyjamie0xaae2…ed52 | No | 113 | 94.4¢ | $112 | — |
| thomastheresa0x091e…7182 | No | 113 | 96.0¢ | $111 | — |
| sbradshaw0x38ee…aaf8 | No | 113 | 95.0¢ | $111 | — |
| halljeanette0x0430…d70a | No | 112 | 94.4¢ | $111 | — |
| scott990x04e6…d283 | No | 112 | 94.6¢ | $110 | — |
| wheelermelissa0xbce6…5d71 | No | 112 | 94.6¢ | $110 | — |
| griffithkaitlyn0xa5ab…e859 | No | 112 | 96.4¢ | $110 | — |
| bradley620xbb10…2f03 | No | 111 | 94.3¢ | $110 | — |
| rterry0x0678…f0e3 | No | 111 | 96.2¢ | $109 | — |
| andre700xfc80…a65c | No | 111 | 97.2¢ | $109 | — |
| elizabethflowers0x32f1…07c4 | No | 111 | 94.8¢ | $109 | — |
| hernandezalbert0xd740…8a68 | No | 111 | 97.2¢ | $109 | — |
| lisaabbott0x82f2…c7e6 | No | 111 | 95.0¢ | $109 | — |
| finleydavid0x9abb…0eee | No | 110 | 97.0¢ | $109 | — |
| austinblack0xbe43…30c1 | No | 110 | 97.2¢ | $109 | — |
| hinoryu0x73aa…c3b4 | No | 110 | 75.4¢ | $108 | — |
| dannyhayden0x5cd8…ff82 | No | 110 | 96.9¢ | $108 | — |
| mcbridekaren0x5049…01c1 | No | 109 | 96.6¢ | $107 | — |
| michaelduffy0x66bd…d31a | No | 109 | 94.9¢ | $107 | — |
| jillmorris0x04e0…0d0b | No | 108 | 96.9¢ | $107 | — |
| hjenkins0x31aa…b952 | No | 108 | 94.6¢ | $106 | — |
| Vilopo0x7f30…d686 | No | 106 | 96.8¢ | $104 | — |
| Raidloner0xf240…f825 | No | 104 | 95.9¢ | $103 | — |
| Kvantico0x6380…bcfb | No | 104 | 96.8¢ | $102 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 89 | 57.1¢ | $88 | — |
| KipaD0xecdb…53f1 | No | 87 | 97.6¢ | $86 | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 5,302 | 4.2¢ | $80 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 69 | 93.0¢ | $68 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| BetsAhead0x0002…56c9 | Yes | 2,188 | 3.9¢ | $33 | — |
| NilsSvensson0x4ae8…eb6f | No | 29 | 96.1¢ | $28 | — |
| JohanBergstrom0x79c5…3ebf | No | 28 | 95.8¢ | $28 | — |
| JettyB0x92b7…d66d | No | 28 | 96.6¢ | $28 | — |
| 0x869a…bd64 | Yes | 1,603 | 6.2¢ | $24 | — |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | No | 24 | 91.7¢ | $24 | — |
| OskarLindberg0xbda1…4504 | No | 24 | 96.2¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x3af3…6214 | Yes | 1,016 | 3.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 986 | 3.9¢ | $15 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 558 | 3.1¢ | $8 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| henos0x7a86…f8e8 | Yes | 525 | 2.7¢ | $8 | Proven+$4.90 per $100 · 455 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 327 | 2.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 271 | 5.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| purebaby0xe23b…f147 | Yes | 270 | 3.1¢ | $4 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 269 | 2.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| Andyjosef146660x890a…ea10 | Yes | 177 | 2.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 155 | 4.1¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| Volku0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | 150 | 5.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$81.54 per $100 · 148 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 130 | 2.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| MuchAdo2BRN2B0xfad4…a210 | Yes | 130 | 5.8¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 109 | 5.7¢ | $2 | — |
| GDV82a0xcb95…611e | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ObamAisAhomo0xe913…4b84 | Yes | 90 | 6.5¢ | $1 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 71 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 50 | 2.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | Yes | 37 | 14.9¢ | $1 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 30 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 69,025+ bets · updating |
| 0x1508…2e0b | Yes | 22 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 16 | 5.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 16 | 7.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 11 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 4 | 9.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 4 | 5.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| dsosods0x9868…907e | Yes | 0 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | Yes | 0 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.75 per $100 · 16,321 bets |
| telum0x8b92…1761 | Yes | 0 | 39.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 0 | 8.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.