Market · 7 of 7 outcomes
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| leqso04100xd5c9…586a | No | 5,219 | 95.8¢ | $5.14K | Losing−$6.41 per $100 · 171 bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 2,070 | 96.6¢ | $2.04K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| OraculumNobius0xd25b…9f3d | No | 879 | 97.7¢ | $866 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 26,314 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 567 | 92.6¢ | $558 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| Nardo990xbb9f…1893 | No | 520 | 96.0¢ | $512 | — |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 269 | 95.0¢ | $265 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |