Market
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 17,566 | 47.3¢ | $14.1K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| TralaleloTralalala0x5d91…3578 | No | 8,192 | 50.5¢ | $6.59K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | Yes | 32,433 | 51.5¢ | $6.32K | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 3,946 bets |
| AChad0x98d1…ed25 | No | 3,622 | 45.8¢ | $2.92K | — |
| Gladius70xc932…e6a5 | No | 3,579 | 72.7¢ | $2.88K | Proven+$6.20 per $100 · 264 bets |
| FoolingAround0x0f4f…7039 | No | 1,529 | 45.7¢ | $1.23K | — |