Market
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OraculumNobius0xd25b…9f3d | No | 40,119 | 86.9¢ | $38.3K | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 26,357 bets |
| leqso04100xd5c9…586a | No | 8,791 | 91.0¢ | $8.4K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xbfba…7567 | No | 6,941 | 86.0¢ | $6.63K | — |
| vovatoxic0xf989…47cc | No | 2,434 | 82.2¢ | $2.32K | Proven+$31.56 per $100 · 158 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 1,827 | 86.0¢ | $1.74K | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 1,370 | 87.2¢ | $1.31K | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,278 bets |