Market
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gladius70xc932…e6a5 | No | 4,422 | 61.5¢ | $3.29K | Proven+$6.20 per $100 · 264 bets |
| GaioMario0x94d0…9e65 | No | 4,048 | 49.4¢ | $3.02K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 |
| No |
| 2,505 |
| 37.7¢ |
| $1.87K |
| Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | Yes | 5,052 | 51.6¢ | $1.29K | Proven+$2.43 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| AnonDaveDave0x98bc…a1da | No | 1,717 | 53.6¢ | $1.28K | — |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | No | 1,628 | 42.7¢ | $1.21K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |