Market
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 7.9¢ | +2.9 pts |
| $10,000 | 39.7¢ | +34.7 pts |
| $100,000 | 66.0¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 66.0¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 4¢.
About $720 can be bought and $959 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 5.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 17:55 UTC.
9 traders bet this week.