Market
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DenisDumov0x3f68…fc42 | No | 34,918 | 50.6¢ | $33.2K | — |
| Gladius70xc932…e6a5 | No | 18,002 | 55.1¢ | $17.1K | Proven+$6.20 per $100 · 264 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x7402…4047 |
| No |
| 12,123 |
| 49.2¢ |
| $11.5K |
| — |
| GaioMario0x94d0…9e65 | No | 2,881 | 32.4¢ | $2.74K | — |
| Napoleon19880xf167…19a1 | No | 2,105 | 95.0¢ | $2K | — |
| vovatoxic0xf989…47cc | No | 2,041 | 49.0¢ | $1.94K | Proven+$31.56 per $100 · 158 bets |