Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 1,470 | 95.7¢ | $1.42K | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | No | 1,416 | 93.2¢ | $1.37K | — |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | No | 950 | 90.5¢ | $916 | Proven+$12.28 per $100 · 3,035 bets |
| SubashChandraBose0xf01a…f231 | No | 580 | 93.8¢ | $560 | — |
| GlockShoot0x0a00…60aa | No | 515 | 97.0¢ | $497 | New48 settled bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 311 | 5.0¢ | $300 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| DumbOracle0xa9ec…57d5 | No | 260 | 95.7¢ | $251 | — |
| ProxyOne0x5bb6…9d57 | No | 210 | 92.3¢ | $203 | New82 settled bets |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 160 | 96.0¢ | $154 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| controls0x165e…f5aa | No | 114 | 95.0¢ | $110 | Proven+$9.06 per $100 · 895 bets |
| Anonnnn24090x9b22…3a92 | No | 109 | 92.0¢ | $105 | — |
| MrBlackistone0x04af…9a07 | Yes | 2,827 | 21.4¢ | $100 | New6 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 73 | 96.3¢ | $70 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 95.3¢ | $48 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| baklavam0x4749…0ed3 | Yes | 1,264 | 3.7¢ | $45 | New0 settled bets |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | No | 46 | 96.3¢ | $44 | — |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 36 | 94.7¢ | $35 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| spaceloaf0xa99c…08b4 | No | 30 | 94.4¢ | $29 | — |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | Yes | 725 | 3.9¢ | $26 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| las010x97b5…657a | No | 22 | 96.9¢ | $21 | — |
| thunderquack0x07fd…ad26 | No | 21 | 96.0¢ | $20 | Proven+$5.90 per $100 · 614 bets |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 20 | 97.0¢ | $20 | — |
| doctorno990x4e2d…4936 | No | 17 | 96.7¢ | $16 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 429 | 4.9¢ | $15 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| KiraHK10xa87f…864d | No | 15 | 96.5¢ | $15 | — |
| MusakaKing0x7727…15a4 | Yes | 354 | 4.2¢ | $13 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 106 bets |
| 0xef03…1fbf | No | 10 | 96.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Polmarketman0x423a…c7de | No | 8 | 95.4¢ | $8 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 222 | 6.4¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 216 | 2.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| 0x8e31…30b1 | No | 5 | 96.5¢ | $5 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | No | 4 | 1.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| 0x7082…3a10 | No | 4 | 97.2¢ | $4 | — |
| alex-2630xb571…6053 | Yes | 110 | 9.4¢ | $4 | — |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 4 | 90.6¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 7,353 bets |
| 0xc6bf…dbe7 | Yes | 85 | 5.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Bodytobody0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | 55 | 0.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | Yes | 50 | 4.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 37 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| jackylove0x4131…d591 | Yes | 29 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| betagainstmedia0xc68c…dc50 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7e5…9030 | Yes | 5 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | 2 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.06 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 95.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 95.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| LonelyScissors0x460b…9894 | No | 0 | 86.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ChunkyMonky0x8f66…b986 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.