Market
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gladius70xc932…e6a5 | No | 7,098 | 54.8¢ | $6.81K | Proven+$6.20 per $100 · 264 bets |
| 0xb7c1…675e | No | 5,534 | 68.9¢ | $5.31K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cocos2280x8e5c…a68a | No | 2,844 | 65.9¢ | $2.73K | Proven+$17.59 per $100 · 119 bets |
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No | 1,877 | 90.0¢ | $1.8K | — |
| zatic0x4568…36ab | No | 1,602 | 62.4¢ | $1.54K | — |
| GaioMario0x94d0…9e65 | No | 1,531 | 66.0¢ | $1.47K | — |