October 31

Full rules

As written on Polymarket for “Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?”.

1. §1This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, Russia formally announces either:
2. §2(i) a new compulsory military mobilization under the existing September 2022 mobilization framework, or an expansion of the categories of citizen to which that framework applies; or
3. §3(ii) the establishment or authorization of a new compulsory military mobilization outside the September 2022 mobilization framework.
4. §4Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
5. §5A qualifying announcement must communicate such a mobilization as a new policy of the Russian State.
6. §6A formal legal act (e.g., an executive decree) that establishes or authorizes a qualifying mobilization, or expands the categories of citizens subject to one, will qualify as an announcement.
7. §7Routine military operations not framed as a new policy, or actions not evidenced by any formal act or announcement, will not qualify.
8. §8Qualifying actions include, but are not limited to: announcing a new wave or phase of mobilization; announcing the expansion of the categories or ages of citizens subject to compulsory mobilization; announcing the authorization of compulsory mobilization call-ups of citizens not subject to compulsory mobilization prior to the authorization; or