Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| segment30xa10c…b2de | No | 9,817 | 86.0¢ | $9.5K | New2 settled bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 8,966 | 96.4¢ | $8.67K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 790 bets |
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 7,654 | 86.7¢ | $7.41K | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 1,716 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 5,235 | 88.7¢ | $5.06K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,975 bets |
| LetMeBeYourValentine0x5ca7…6149 | No | 4,372 | 79.7¢ | $4.23K | Proven+$3.43 per $100 · 206 bets |
| vladius30x2cf7…294a | No | 3,828 | 90.9¢ | $3.7K | Losing−$1.23 per $100 · 473 bets |
| Appppping0xda2a…2f33 | No | 3,788 | 89.6¢ | $3.66K | — |
| 0xff57…a383 | No | 3,665 | 81.5¢ | $3.55K | New13 settled bets |
| zxdfbdfgngcxv0x57b0…76f4 | No | 2,836 | 87.3¢ | $2.74K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,947 bets |
| prognozu0x8199…bb6d | No | 2,494 | 93.6¢ | $2.41K | — |
| kukubaja0xa0c3…5b9a | No | 2,329 | 93.8¢ | $2.25K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,092 bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 1,627 | 96.0¢ | $1.57K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 1,500 | 81.0¢ | $1.45K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| vgbyp0x6c18…238a | No | 1,426 | 83.1¢ | $1.38K | New5 settled bets |
| Noname3330x6c17…6a7e | No | 1,422 | 91.2¢ | $1.38K | Proven+$4.18 per $100 · 460 bets |
| Ogonee0x0a79…8e05 | No | 1,371 | 84.2¢ | $1.33K | — |
| ourdemocracy20xbdcb…e811 | No | 1,330 | 81.8¢ | $1.29K | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 569 bets |
| shirase550x84a7…b6c5 | No | 1,256 | 79.6¢ | $1.21K | New6 settled bets |
| nero25890x1464…5e75 | No | 1,250 | 83.9¢ | $1.21K | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 2,380 bets |
| 0xd95a…4ea9 | No | 1,033 | 95.9¢ | $999 | — |
| tl2000x2dc6…cf37 | No | 1,000 | 97.4¢ | $968 | New41 settled bets |
| 0x9152…69a5 | No | 993 | 91.3¢ | $961 | — |
| Donny.T0x8190…b247 | No | 920 | 82.5¢ | $890 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 764 bets |
| OrbitSugarFree0x890d…15ac | No | 866 | 95.0¢ | $838 | New74 settled bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 817 | 40.9¢ | $790 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| SomerandomD0x2db9…33f1 | No | 800 | 94.2¢ | $774 | Proven+$5.06 per $100 · 100 bets |
| IGORS0x1496…ee6f | No | 796 | 85.2¢ | $771 | New14 settled bets |
| Asgard-gar0xa2c8…2389 | No | 786 | 83.9¢ | $760 | — |
| Cattail0xc4c1…7324 | No | 670 | 75.0¢ | $648 | — |
| john876314500x0162…3d19 | No | 621 | 87.0¢ | $601 | New41 settled bets |
| DrA11c0m30x5f57…fd0e | No | 610 | 82.0¢ | $590 | New39 settled bets |
| Putniy1110x10b7…9e3c | No | 600 | 85.0¢ | $580 | — |
| lepimate0x9eea…223a | No | 563 | 94.8¢ | $545 | — |
| onthewave0xc302…f388 | No | 559 | 80.5¢ | $541 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 201 bets |
| ksenon0x7535…e660 | No | 407 | 94.6¢ | $394 | — |
| 0xb46c…c34d | No | 400 | 85.0¢ | $387 | — |
| jinek0xd3de…f75c | No | 339 | 89.0¢ | $328 | — |
| 2number90x39d4…8585 | Yes | 9,648 | 8.7¢ | $314 | — |
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | No | 294 | 90.0¢ | $284 | New56 settled bets |
| 0x4572…47e7 | No | 291 | 86.4¢ | $282 | — |
| SUPERR0x2ee6…438a | No | 290 | 84.0¢ | $281 | — |
| radek440x153b…65d8 | No | 260 | 76.9¢ | $252 | Losing−$2.78 per $100 · 371 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No | 245 | 77.4¢ | $237 | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| zroman010x7ae5…5d0d | No | 235 | 85.0¢ | $228 | — |
| youher0x5f1d…3533 | No | 199 | 85.0¢ | $193 | — |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | Yes | 5,620 | 12.8¢ | $183 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| vonPommern0x78ae…143a | Yes | 4,379 | 15.4¢ | $142 | — |
| gotonetry330x66e0…e8f0 | No | 138 | 84.5¢ | $133 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 729 bets |
| zubr0xfa22…69a6 | No | 135 | 74.0¢ | $131 | — |
| 0xd91e…a1fd | No | 135 | 74.9¢ | $130 | — |
| mazyro0x0950…62f4 | No | 130 | 76.8¢ | $126 | — |
| markmattersoon0xe042…f206 | Yes | 3,840 | 20.6¢ | $125 | — |
| SlavaSychev13370xe8c9…3d87 | Yes | 3,765 | 30.7¢ | $122 | — |
| knyzh0xbada…fe22 | No | 119 | 83.8¢ | $115 | — |
| LiquidatedDegen0xc7e5…2d3a | Yes | 3,266 | 15.7¢ | $106 | Proven+$3.21 per $100 · 4,545 bets |
| glebbubnoff0x310a…acc8 | Yes | 2,710 | 3.5¢ | $88 | — |
| serrinchive0xfac5…df2f | Yes | 2,500 | 8.0¢ | $81 | — |
| hormuz-tracker0x3eda…daee | Yes | 2,278 | 24.8¢ | $74 | — |
| 0x0783…4385 | Yes | 2,110 | 2.9¢ | $69 | — |
| Ban4ik0xfd12…53fa | Yes | 1,890 | 14.8¢ | $61 | Losing−$1.52 per $100 · 265 bets |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | Yes | 1,862 | 16.6¢ | $61 | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| jxzz0x7d8a…f907 | Yes | 1,654 | 2.5¢ | $54 | — |
| smartrandom0xfc75…8604 | Yes | 1,600 | 7.5¢ | $52 | — |
| zve3da0xc948…33a1 | Yes | 1,555 | 38.5¢ | $51 | New44 settled bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,500 | 21.0¢ | $49 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,062 bets |
| amused850x8fe7…4f20 | Yes | 1,500 | 17.7¢ | $49 | Losing−$2.18 per $100 · 5,572 bets |
| 0x9c0d…293f | Yes | 1,358 | 12.0¢ | $44 | — |
| TralaleloTralalala0x5d91…3578 | Yes | 1,358 | 13.1¢ | $44 | — |
| Alphabravo3370x296e…e0e1 | Yes | 1,334 | 16.0¢ | $43 | — |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 1,226 | 2.5¢ | $40 | Proven+$13.24 per $100 · 3,540 bets |
| Jklomlsf-0x280f…5577 | Yes | 1,165 | 12.8¢ | $38 | — |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 1,063 | 24.2¢ | $35 | — |
| ogawa0xc2b3…9a90 | Yes | 1,000 | 6.0¢ | $33 | — |
| vulden0x6102…702c | Yes | 1,000 | 13.0¢ | $32 | — |
| jjjjok66660x8f51…5b82 | Yes | 981 | 19.4¢ | $32 | New48 settled bets |
| Lord-Of-Democracy0xe22d…635d | Yes | 895 | 11.1¢ | $29 | — |
| futurefuture0x280a…e8b9 | Yes | 821 | 14.0¢ | $27 | — |
| pidorasik1110x5469…b146 | Yes | 780 | 10.8¢ | $25 | — |
| rhg904ij70x402f…6d99 | Yes | 766 | 14.0¢ | $25 | — |
| takeright320xfd50…0687 | Yes | 740 | 4.6¢ | $24 | — |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | Yes | 732 | 17.6¢ | $24 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 6,509 bets |
| ArthurGreen0xd5db…3c45 | Yes | 720 | 14.6¢ | $23 | Losing−$4.68 per $100 · 1,000 bets |
| goalte0xb5ed…7755 | Yes | 713 | 8.9¢ | $23 | — |
| Delarge0xabd8…141d | Yes | 700 | 14.1¢ | $23 | — |
| pjotrekkk0xf102…1348 | Yes | 700 | 18.4¢ | $23 | Proven+$3.29 per $100 · 20,519 bets |
| GriphonGoy0xe896…6f43 | Yes | 695 | 17.3¢ | $23 | — |
| HELIOS-ONE0x7951…bb41 | Yes | 650 | 2.6¢ | $21 | Positive+$1.88 per $100 · 2,950 bets |
| Pavel850xf7f6…6b83 | Yes | 607 | 18.8¢ | $20 | New1 settled bet |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 600 | 17.5¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 592 | 3.8¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| coshi0x3e71…f97b | Yes | 500 | 14.0¢ | $16 | New86 settled bets |
| BloodyMummer0xffb0…fa37 | Yes | 500 | 12.0¢ | $16 | — |
| AChad0x98d1…ed25 | Yes | 449 | 17.1¢ | $15 | — |
| mrkinetiq0xb48b…04eb | Yes | 443 | 12.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | 414 | 5.1¢ | $13 | — |
| ZimmaBlue0xda08…0e21 | Yes | 400 | 2.5¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x7f0d…7d9f | Yes | 393 | 19.1¢ | $13 | — |
| lampo0xcd5c…f0a4 | Yes | 393 | 15.3¢ | $13 | — |
| Lincorro0x7f85…f007 | Yes | 357 | 7.0¢ | $12 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.