Market · 8 of 36 outcomes
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 641 | 90.8¢ | $604 | New69 settled bets |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | No | 500 | 94.0¢ | $471 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| Bettingcryptofr0xf5aa…fd4a | No | 347 | 94.0¢ | $327 | New31 settled bets |
| Elyotus0x27af…6ec8 | No | 334 | 95.4¢ | $315 | — |
| 0x91c3…409f | No | 218 | 93.8¢ | $205 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 200 | 94.7¢ | $188 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 161 | 94.6¢ | $152 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 105 | 95.5¢ | $99 | — |
| navyva0x0a7a…e55c | Yes | 1,132 | 7.0¢ | $66 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 96.6¢ | $47 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Valdan0xc2d2…de25 | No | 42 | 95.2¢ | $40 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 544 | 5.4¢ | $32 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 94.7¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| hacman760x944e…96a8 | Yes | 453 | 4.6¢ | $26 | — |
| Invictus070xeced…c598 | No | 25 | 62.0¢ | $24 | — |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 18 | 91.1¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 15 | 94.0¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 225 | 5.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| superDogNightmare0x294b…682f | No | 11 | 93.9¢ | $10 | — |
| Gimmaer0x29a3…9b79 | No | 11 | 93.7¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 404 bets |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 93.6¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.88 per $100 · 1,656 bets |
| 0x6392…b6c2 | Yes | 142 | 7.3¢ | $8 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 60 | 5.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x925f…b6f8 | Yes | 43 | 5.5¢ | $3 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 30 | 5.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| tomczykmarm0x8b7d…a994 | Yes | 25 | 8.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 21 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 1 | 96.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| 0x4e9e…6f3e | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.98 per $100 · 1,237 bets |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 12 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 1 | 92.6¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 12 | 4.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 2 | 6.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 2 | 9.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 92.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play