Market · 4 of 20 outcomes
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | No | 226 | 82.9¢ | $224 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 46 | 91.8¢ | $46 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,557 bets |
| Nexkron0xeeb5…ea73 | No | 40 | 87.0¢ | $40 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 14 | 95.1¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 11 | 89.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| bmtr0x7d1b…e75c | Yes | 593 | 5.8¢ | $6 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 446 | 2.9¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 432 | 1.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x3ee4…4cca | Yes | 387 | 21.3¢ | $4 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 296 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,993 bets |
| Leo20160x9892…81db | Yes | 250 | 2.1¢ | $3 | — |
| HTcable0x9af1…e242 | No | 2 | 98.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$354.86 per $100 · 167 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 220 | 11.2¢ | $2 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 218 | 27.0¢ | $2 | — |
| cyari0x4967…dd78 | No | 2 | 99.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 189 | 18.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | No | 2 | 66.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x9309…20f8 | No | 2 | 98.5¢ | $2 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 161 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 154 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| 0xfb81…e2d2 | No | 2 | 99.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x7f42…a572 | No | 1 | 99.2¢ | $1 | — |
| liqinfen15110xf5c8…59d1 | No | 1 | 98.6¢ | $1 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 100 | 4.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ufodisc0x86a9…50ae | Yes | 80 | 34.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 60 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 58 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 52 | 4.4¢ | $1 | — |
| K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE0xa68b…c4b4 | Yes | 46 | 25.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 36 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 38.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 25 | 37.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| MyLastStand0x419f…e853 | Yes | 20 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| HosoTrader0x5ad9…f29d | Yes | 20 | 39.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 20 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 10 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 8 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 3 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 3 | 25.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 2 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,803 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 0 | 85.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 1 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Best Math AI Lab · End of October 2026 · 1 event · $6.91K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.