Market · 6 of 20 outcomes
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 26 | 99.8¢ | $26 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,557 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 5 | 93.3¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 680 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,993 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 574 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 477 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| TNTCo0x3cec…1f74 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.12 per $100 · 149 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Best Math AI Lab · End of October 2026 · 1 event · $6.91K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 101.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.