Market · 16 of 17 outcomes
Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 17 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 5,060 | 99.8¢ | $5.06K | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 240 | 5.4¢ | $240 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 8 | 98.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,634+ bets · updating |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | No | 2 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,383 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 3,603 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,909 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | No | 1 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Huye1680x4ae7…561f | Yes | 1,636 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$24.09 per $100 · 1,666 bets |
| crckr0x2b3d…8db7 | Yes | 1,158 | 4.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$13.18 per $100 · 5,861 bets |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 550 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| akko1230x403d…b04d | Yes | 234 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 181 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 125 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 100 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 89 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 69 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 62 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 30 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 30 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,177 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 19 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,351 bets |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 6 | 14.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 2 | 12.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 2 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | Yes | 0 | 5.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 7.2¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
| flagsincircle0x4d15…78db | Yes | 0 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 108 shares each side · Show
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