Market · 16 of 17 outcomes
Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 17 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 5,060 | 99.8¢ | $5.06K | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 240 | 5.4¢ | $240 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 8 | 98.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$5.55 per $100 · 87,601 bets |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | No | 2 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,383 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 3,603 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,909 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | No | 1 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 108 shares each side · Show
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5 more outcomes in this event.
These 17 outcomes add up to 94.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.