Market · 1 of 13 outcomes
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 13 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | 593,512 | 80.0¢ | $567K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| fed260xaf45…ec7d | Yes | 262,621 | 39.7¢ | $251K | New30 settled bets |
| strategy1.20xc6d0…4bad | Yes | 67,418 | 42.1¢ | $64.4K | New2 settled bets |
| 0xe617…f251 | Yes | 56,180 | 89.5¢ | $53.7K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 1,612 bets |
| ratehikes0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | 39,283 | 61.8¢ | $37.5K | New49 settled bets |
| plumbis0x77fb…266c | Yes | 37,536 | 88.8¢ | $35.9K | Proven+$3.38 per $100 · 136 bets |
| nada0xf4f3…330d | Yes | 37,335 | 48.3¢ | $35.7K | Break-even−$0.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | Yes | 33,214 | 71.5¢ | $31.7K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| hippoka0xdd9c…31a0 | Yes | 30,422 | 8.0¢ | $29.1K | New77 settled bets |
| hawkj0x33dc…bb81 | Yes | 30,202 | 86.0¢ | $28.9K | Losing−$6.39 per $100 · 212 bets |
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | Yes | 30,105 | 78.4¢ | $28.8K | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| FoldingKeene0x3c01…d612 | Yes | 28,411 | 75.8¢ | $27.1K | Positive+$1.27 per $100 · 213 bets |
| 0xheavy8880xec98…afcd | Yes | 20,000 | 86.6¢ | $19.1K | Positive+$1.09 per $100 · 17,528 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | Yes | 20,000 | 66.8¢ | $19.1K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| bosshog0x47ab…95df | Yes | 17,496 | 89.6¢ | $16.7K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,839 bets |
| justme0030xcb89…a2e8 | Yes | 17,494 | 87.3¢ | $16.7K | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 343 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 16,494 | 88.3¢ | $15.8K | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| joy2theworld0xc757…3619 | Yes | 15,000 | 94.5¢ | $14.3K | New75 settled bets |
| StanleyHo0xf360…ad1f | Yes | 12,866 | 71.0¢ | $12.3K | New7 settled bets |
| air40x035c…a779 | Yes | 12,820 | 71.9¢ | $12.2K | New4 settled bets |
| Betttttttttnn0x6ca9…3f78 | Yes | 12,149 | 94.5¢ | $11.6K | New7 settled bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 11,889 | 21.1¢ | $11.4K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| bravelittleguy0x1d66…928f | Yes | 11,402 | 85.6¢ | $10.9K | Break-even−$0.93 per $100 · 252 bets |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | Yes | 11,244 | 75.7¢ | $10.7K | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| GlobalBetter0x58e0…b8bb | Yes | 10,091 | 89.5¢ | $9.64K | New46 settled bets |
| 25usdc0x75e7…9080 | Yes | 10,000 | 5.6¢ | $9.55K | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 3,024 bets |
| 0x6a0c…3f90 | Yes | 8,476 | 97.0¢ | $8.1K | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 249 bets |
| LeoTheGray0xb458…d89e | Yes | 8,143 | 88.2¢ | $7.78K | New12 settled bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | Yes | 8,129 | 96.0¢ | $7.77K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 7,915 | 95.4¢ | $7.56K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 7,698 | 96.2¢ | $7.36K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,668 bets |
| aiwar0x277e…7d32 | Yes | 7,111 | 90.8¢ | $6.79K | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 293 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 6,965 | 68.3¢ | $6.65K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| kosaks0xc5ce…266d | Yes | 6,772 | 96.3¢ | $6.47K | New97 settled bets |
| End1230x8df7…36c4 | Yes | 6,221 | 77.9¢ | $5.94K | Losing−$3.41 per $100 · 650 bets |
| babyshark.0x36ed…4a93 | Yes | 6,207 | 25.7¢ | $5.93K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 253 bets |
| taut-dogwood0x8deb…7062 | Yes | 5,689 | 96.2¢ | $5.44K | Proven+$2.10 per $100 · 551 bets |
| NoIdea6660x7e14…7d13 | Yes | 5,643 | 96.2¢ | $5.39K | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 234 bets |
| vgbyp0x6c18…238a | Yes | 5,104 | 80.7¢ | $4.88K | New5 settled bets |
| air30xf143…fdb3 | Yes | 5,000 | 67.8¢ | $4.78K | New59 settled bets |
| 0xa313…eb44 | Yes | 4,981 | 86.6¢ | $4.76K | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 983 bets |
| churna0xed11…10be | Yes | 4,975 | 89.3¢ | $4.75K | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 301 bets |
| GoldmanSachs0x71dd…d61c | Yes | 4,719 | 85.4¢ | $4.51K | Proven+$12.50 per $100 · 534 bets |
| SplendidAmadeus0x0dd6…5f62 | Yes | 4,701 | 88.2¢ | $4.49K | Losing−$2.48 per $100 · 1,924 bets |
| wagmiser0xef62…0179 | Yes | 4,633 | 87.2¢ | $4.43K | Losing−$4.49 per $100 · 251 bets |
| podairpod0x2ed8…93d4 | Yes | 4,441 | 71.4¢ | $4.24K | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 772 bets |
| ggdajiba0x1fa0…0465 | Yes | 4,328 | 93.9¢ | $4.14K | Break-even−$0.28 per $100 · 127 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | Yes | 4,189 | 90.1¢ | $4K | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| thanksmom0xc0cd…0aa9 | Yes | 4,123 | 92.8¢ | $3.94K | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 117 bets |
| ftipip0xb004…c0c7 | No | 85,231 | 12.5¢ | $3.79K | New0 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 3,877 | 96.0¢ | $3.7K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,397 bets |
| allen1110x269c…9017 | No | 60,000 | 96.2¢ | $2.67K | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 705 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 57,491 | 11.0¢ | $2.56K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 39,282 | 5.6¢ | $1.75K | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 191,746 bets |
| MasamuneTomose0x9d0b…f0cb | No | 38,974 | 12.4¢ | $1.73K | New23 settled bets |
| ololololololololo0x2c4c…cb39 | No | 33,207 | 11.5¢ | $1.48K | Losing−$8.48 per $100 · 188 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 31,239 | 14.4¢ | $1.39K | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 0x76d2…8846 | No | 25,390 | 12.5¢ | $1.13K | New0 settled bets |
| mudgrauiop120x12df…6a3d | No | 24,392 | 12.8¢ | $1.09K | New73 settled bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 20,580 | 26.6¢ | $916 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| bingandbong0x28d5…3dec | No | 20,499 | 15.0¢ | $912 | New2 settled bets |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | No | 19,050 | 11.7¢ | $848 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 9,454 bets |
| rivermarkets0x1223…d424 | No | 18,998 | 37.7¢ | $845 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 389 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 17,789 | 12.7¢ | $792 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| Nick-eth0xb6c3…eb07 | No | 15,940 | 81.2¢ | $709 | New72 settled bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | 7,000 | 11.0¢ | $311 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 2,128 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 6,849 | 14.7¢ | $305 | Losing−$5.17 per $100 · 30,004+ bets · updating |
| tttzzzccc0xea87…a86d | No | 6,708 | 14.8¢ | $299 | New15 settled bets |
| spongebob0x81bc…fb58 | No | 6,467 | 6.7¢ | $288 | New43 settled bets |
| baran-ludoman0xc0bf…2032 | No | 5,936 | 40.5¢ | $264 | Proven+$11.48 per $100 · 198 bets |
| 0x22d8…a92b | No | 5,794 | 6.4¢ | $258 | New70 settled bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 5,555 | 2.5¢ | $247 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 21,994 bets |
| 0x6aa0…e79b | No | 5,275 | 36.6¢ | $235 | New23 settled bets |
| 0x2a5f…6c92 | No | 5,035 | 3.8¢ | $224 | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 114 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | No | 5,000 | 8.5¢ | $223 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| 0x28ff…a3d8 | No | 4,539 | 6.5¢ | $202 | New0 settled bets |
| goodbbb1233330x4e82…453d | No | 4,331 | 14.7¢ | $193 | New19 settled bets |
| UmmKrummm0x5dd5…0ec9 | No | 3,816 | 77.5¢ | $170 | New7 settled bets |
| MtnMark0x70ff…b65f | No | 3,781 | 9.4¢ | $168 | Positive+$40.45 per $100 · 239 bets |
| SamAlterman0x856f…2f64 | No | 3,688 | 15.0¢ | $164 | New99 settled bets |
| happy000xd576…b8f4 | No | 3,640 | 10.9¢ | $162 | New71 settled bets |
| pp1010x7f33…914e | No | 3,224 | 21.6¢ | $143 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,133 bets |
| cryptoatma0xa172…b716 | No | 3,134 | 68.9¢ | $139 | Break-even−$0.21 per $100 · 279 bets |
| horiz0n0x398d…c7c3 | No | 3,045 | 60.1¢ | $135 | Losing−$2.07 per $100 · 201 bets |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 3,020 | 31.4¢ | $134 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| AlfredTheShiller0xcd6b…68f5 | No | 3,000 | 47.0¢ | $134 | Proven+$5.96 per $100 · 1,413 bets |
| olddirtyfighter0x4889…e2d8 | No | 3,000 | 6.5¢ | $134 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 676 bets |
| uuuuuuuhhh0xb938…6f03 | No | 3,000 | 20.0¢ | $134 | New27 settled bets |
| GUSmaster0xda85…5e72 | No | 2,877 | 6.9¢ | $128 | New8 settled bets |
| 0x95f2…6d12 | No | 2,611 | 3.8¢ | $116 | New2 settled bets |
| randomgambla0xec2c…4676 | No | 2,500 | 19.5¢ | $111 | New26 settled bets |
| iuyyghy0xfbd8…1b05 | No | 2,500 | 22.0¢ | $111 | New7 settled bets |
| BobbyB0x9916…a2b2 | No | 2,442 | 59.6¢ | $109 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 981 bets |
| justdoit00xe9de…215b | No | 2,301 | 90.8¢ | $102 | New40 settled bets |
| kolhoznik0x6cb8…a1f7 | No | 2,276 | 45.2¢ | $101 | New26 settled bets |
| 45eer123330xe8ef…9676 | No | 2,241 | 15.2¢ | $100 | New19 settled bets |
| OddVector0x07f3…a5fd | No | 2,213 | 11.3¢ | $98 | New0 settled bets |
| winwin130xdab0…dd75 | No | 2,182 | 0.0¢ | $97 | New27 settled bets |
| 123123dddd0x5dbc…be7a | No | 2,100 | 0.0¢ | $93 | — |
| 0xf0f8…fcf6 | No | 1,242 | 32.8¢ | $55 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 322 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.