Market · 24 of 46 outcomes
Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 03:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 384 | 93.2¢ | $359 | New69 settled bets |
| 0x5c66…31e3 | No | 100 | 93.4¢ | $94 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 621 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 174 | 5.8¢ | $11 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| sushilord0xe6d4…22da | No | 11 | 92.6¢ | $10 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 102 | 6.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 71 | 5.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 69 | 3.9¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 5.4¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 32 | 18.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,507 bets |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | No | 1 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 5 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | Yes | 2 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 49ddgfd0x9070…e32c | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 36dgfdgdgdg0x5314…5db9 | Yes | 0 | 13.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.