Market · 11 of 36 outcomes
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | No | 486 | 96.0¢ | $461 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 268 | 4.1¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0x3aee…a04a | No | 14 | 99.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 7 | 96.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,987 bets |
| edwardzhang03040x29dc…7081 | No | 5 | 96.7¢ | $5 | — |
| jikebaofu0x0862…8403 | No | 5 | 98.8¢ | $5 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 84 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| 0xcebe…df95 | No | 3 | 98.8¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 48 | 16.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 45 | 0.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xa7d5…8343 | No | 2 | 96.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xee6a…b75c | No | 2 | 99.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 30 | 3.6¢ | $2 | — |
| justmeandme0x17f4…9d7f | Yes | 20 | 4.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e1d…3fbf | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | — |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 10 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 6 | 16.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| 0x1d4b…50c5 | Yes | 5 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 98132wxc0x9f2a…3706 | Yes | 4 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 3 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| akko1230x403d…b04d | Yes | 2 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| qcp10x9f44…7470 | No | 0 | 96.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Po1yBot-Uk4bUfbUmy0x1235…d408 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 0 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | 0 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xac74…2d47 | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play