Market · 1 of 36 outcomes
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | 4,192 | 88.2¢ | $3.73K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 713 bets |
| TheEmprah0x4cb5…b536 | Yes | 743 | 82.5¢ | $661 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xdec3…9f41 | Yes | 654 | 82.6¢ | $582 | — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | Yes | 638 | 77.0¢ | $567 | New69 settled bets |
| MoonShootBets0x6491…74b2 | Yes | 483 | 88.4¢ | $430 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 272 | 89.0¢ | $242 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| 0xb4d1…4c60 | No | 1,822 | 15.2¢ | $200 | New79 settled bets |
| nidrac20xaf68…e9a7 | No | 866 | 13.2¢ | $95 | — |
| Aveen0xefab…258e | No | 832 | 12.4¢ | $92 | — |
| CACAOCAPITAL0x77f8…569f | Yes | 100 | 33.8¢ | $89 | — |
| pjotrekkk0xf102…1348 | Yes | 100 | 84.0¢ | $89 | Proven+$3.29 per $100 · 20,519 bets |
| PainChoco0x2ed2…56e0 | No | 771 | 13.4¢ | $85 | New39 settled bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 759 | 9.5¢ | $83 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| soul9625330x980e…9ce0 | No | 638 | 11.4¢ | $70 | — |
| perlo340xd9e7…7197 | Yes | 61 | 82.5¢ | $54 | — |
| BH04020x849e…67cd | Yes | 60 | 84.5¢ | $54 | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 51 | 83.0¢ | $46 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 300 | 28.4¢ | $33 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Valdan0xc2d2…de25 | Yes | 35 | 85.5¢ | $31 | — |
| mayerat0x1d36…4773 | No | 250 | 20.6¢ | $28 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 189 | 10.0¢ | $21 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 164 | 19.1¢ | $18 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 20 | 79.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| mtrnr0xdebc…88b9 | Yes | 20 | 85.0¢ | $18 | — |
| Flominette0xb908…6175 | No | 142 | 14.5¢ | $16 | — |
| qqqmmmccc0x6d72…a399 | No | 134 | 16.4¢ | $15 | — |
| Chococremeux0x08a6…f3cc | No | 128 | 38.5¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x0cda…afef | Yes | 13 | 79.7¢ | $11 | — |
| toladou0xfc19…1220 | No | 99 | 12.0¢ | $11 | — |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 12 | 24.3¢ | $11 | Proven+$5.27 per $100 · 3,127 bets |
| Pilagi0x301f…3609 | Yes | 11 | 90.4¢ | $10 | — |
| Cpana0x097e…31a4 | No | 71 | 14.5¢ | $8 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | No | 67 | 10.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| batin0780x29fc…f598 | No | 60 | 17.4¢ | $7 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 52 | 9.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| crayven0x2aac…dfad | Yes | 6 | 82.6¢ | $5 | Proven+$5.71 per $100 · 922 bets |
| 0xf60b…7291 | Yes | 6 | 89.3¢ | $5 | — |
| tsklee0x8cef…6b6d | Yes | 5 | 92.3¢ | $5 | — |
| danfragod0xadd2…9d0f | Yes | 5 | 92.3¢ | $5 | — |
| ktv.politics0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | 5 | 85.9¢ | $5 | — |
| laurasilietti0x89d4…24a5 | Yes | 5 | 19.9¢ | $5 | — |
| YourewrongNooffence0xb130…b18f | No | 42 | 12.5¢ | $5 | — |
| EliteBetter0x81c9…4a47 | Yes | 5 | 90.0¢ | $4 | — |
| tz210xda8c…a117 | Yes | 5 | 21.7¢ | $4 | — |
| Yoyo1234567890x2c32…71df | Yes | 5 | 87.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 4 | 55.5¢ | $3 | — |
| maikomo0xd437…f0d6 | Yes | 4 | 0.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xab7e…1a5f | Yes | 2 | 89.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Flameur0x70f0…bcd9 | No | 17 | 12.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2e8f…5a92 | No | 15 | 13.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf560…ea74 | No | 15 | 13.5¢ | $2 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | No | 15 | 15.0¢ | $2 | — |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | No | 15 | 66.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Tol-ya0xbabc…c106 | No | 15 | 14.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 4fxt82eutez00x87bf…a0c8 | Yes | 2 | 89.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | No | 11 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Lordofebola0x1aac…1df6 | No | 10 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| ticklebutt0x84f0…1f79 | No | 10 | 83.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcecd…7e1a | Yes | 1 | 81.6¢ | $1 | — |
| VincentPolymarket0x5b06…3dcb | Yes | 1 | 86.5¢ | $1 | — |
| zahn0x2883…8dcc | Yes | 1 | 86.5¢ | $1 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 1 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Valouass0x6e36…5374 | Yes | 1 | 91.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Frosty20xf915…0c01 | Yes | 1 | 92.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xff43…8a73 | No | 8 | 14.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 09F911029D740x4247…455f | No | 5 | 39.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ngok9960xe1a9…339e | No | 5 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| meow-1230x0739…aba8 | Yes | 0 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | No | 2 | 9.5¢ | $0 | — |
| gramschmidt0x6538…9392 | Yes | 0 | 73.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 1 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | Yes | 0 | 77.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 1,766 bets |
| nani0x081a…66d0 | Yes | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| teamflywheel0xafe2…b686 | No | 0 | 73.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| TraderProMax0x9474…5091 | No | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | No | 0 | 76.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play