Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 62 | 87.0¢ | $60 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 29 | 95.3¢ | $28 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 285 | 11.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| Godzilla10x9561…0570 | Yes | 272 | 3.8¢ | $6 | — |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | No | 5 | 96.2¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 4 | 57.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 150 | 2.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 12,743 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 127 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| bullbull880x3008…3c76 | Yes | 20 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| lightwarriormillennial0xd51f…bcbc | Yes | 20 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 1 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Brazil Presidential Runoff · Roraima · 2 events · $5.19K in play