Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 13.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 13.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 14.2¢ | +1.7 pts |
| $500,000 | 30.1¢ | +17.6 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 12¢.
About $118K can be bought and $176K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so most bets get in close to it.
Measured from 12.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 22:15 UTC.
1,109 traders bet this week. 20 bets were $10K or more, and $458K of that went on No.