Lisa Murkowski

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 101.3¢ right now.

Decided by

The candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election, scheduled for November 3, 2026.§1

Results not confirmed

If results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the market resolves to "Other".§2

Sources disagree

If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate, the market resolves based on official certification.§5

All three agree

The market resolves once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.§4

Counted

The candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election.§1

Source

The Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.§3

Closes

Nov 4, 2026 · 04:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.