Market · 10 of 22 outcomes
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 1,088 | 99.8¢ | $1.09K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 15,909 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 57 | 99.9¢ | $57 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,027 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 3,683 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,328 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 1,121 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$13.19 per $100 · 8,595 bets |
| CluelessEyes0x4d2d…c755 | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 882 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 851 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,985 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 837 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 652 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 600 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 592 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 442 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 354 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| lorenzcurve0x1c13…c371 | No | 0 | 95.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9eed…cdca | Yes | 311 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe5ab…8b8d | Yes | 311 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 300 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 282 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,225 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 241 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 222 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | Yes | 181 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 158 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 156 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x16c7…22cd | Yes | 114 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.Sharif0x4fad…ef43 | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 95 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 90 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 88 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 77 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 59 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 59 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mymacbook0x0999…dd96 | Yes | 56 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 55 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 50 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 40 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 37 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 35 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| 0x12356510x1bfb…8bea | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 3,828 bets |
| a5tthsyuo3c0x841c…b20d | Yes | 20 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 12 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Boshch0xf440…c203 | Yes | 12 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 12 | 7.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 10 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.08 per $100 · 29,939+ bets · updating |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| froggling0x95da…f932 | Yes | 8 | 19.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.