Market · 4 of 19 outcomes
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | No | 1,593 | 72.3¢ | $1.23K | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| aliaspopeye0x8713…196b | No | 1,460 | 69.0¢ | $1.13K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 |
| No |
| 1,375 |
| 72.0¢ |
| $1.07K |
| Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| 212broly0xef2b…fb1a | No | 1,335 | 73.4¢ | $1.03K | — |
| bearbees20x12b8…479c | No | 1,000 | 70.0¢ | $775 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 259 bets |
| mr.ozi0x614d…1546 | No | 879 | 69.6¢ | $682 | Proven+$4.92 per $100 · 2,289 bets |
7 more outcomes in this event.