Market · 5 of 6 outcomes
Will Lin Shih-hsien win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 120 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| em...well0x9797…2532 | Yes | 67 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 54 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.68 per $100 · 56,784 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 50 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,306 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 6 outcomes add up to 101.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.