Market · 4 of 6 outcomes
Will Chiu Chien-fu win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 15 | 97.3¢ | $15 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| zgcj0x0169…0096 | Yes | 370 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 112 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 99 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 63 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.27 per $100 · 35,318+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 6 outcomes add up to 101.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.