Market · 2 of 10 outcomes
Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 252 | 89.3¢ | $249 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | No | 189 | 90.3¢ | $187 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 102 | 89.9¢ | $101 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 64 | 98.1¢ | $64 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 40 | 90.7¢ | $39 | — |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 20 | 98.4¢ | $20 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| Predictandbreathe0x2707…0afa | Yes | 500 | 10.5¢ | $7 | Losing−$3.24 per $100 · 3,219 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 359 | 7.5¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 233 | 2.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| Rondon0x7acd…ae09 | Yes | 175 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | Yes | 128 | 7.8¢ | $2 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 109 | 2.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 70 | 2.5¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 53 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 41 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 40 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6b25…7a69 | Yes | 29 | 4.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 4,295 bets |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | Yes | 28 | 5.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 26 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd487…a674 | Yes | 25 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Seeking-Alpha010x0a9c…d552 | Yes | 19 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| risknot30x61f2…e2ae | Yes | 18 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 10 | 10.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x978b…2add | Yes | 8 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 5 | 5.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 90.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 4 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DarkFish0x87cb…6232 | Yes | 2 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 1 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 9.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 21.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Federal District Governor Election · 2026 · 2 events · $12.4K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.