Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 34,522 | 87.1¢ | $28.1K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,101 bets |
| goldendoxi0xb276…b331 | Yes | 1,112 | 90.3¢ | $907 | — |
| The-Dove0xfde3…719a | Yes | 1,035 | 81.0¢ | $844 | — |
| 0xb9b8…38b6 | No | 4,140 | 12.5¢ | $766 | — |
| ChinaCartman0x45b8…1c97 | Yes | 756 | 92.7¢ | $616 | — |
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | Yes | 666 | 84.0¢ | $543 | — |
| zxdfbdfgngcxv0x57b0…76f4 | Yes | 600 | 81.0¢ | $489 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,947 bets |
| SirJason0x0cd7…78e0 | No | 2,251 | 19.4¢ | $416 | — |
| OwwO0x87b7…efcc | No | 1,568 | 18.7¢ | $290 | — |
| aoiaoiboo0x9f16…a28f | No | 1,526 | 10.4¢ | $282 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 316 | 85.0¢ | $257 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 0x72c3…1719 | Yes | 265 | 84.4¢ | $216 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 265 | 84.7¢ | $216 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| J.D.L0x902c…9d51 | Yes | 258 | 84.5¢ | $211 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 1,107 | 13.5¢ | $205 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| claudeagent870xd65c…502f | Yes | 231 | 74.0¢ | $188 | — |
| lonewolf60120xcf3d…56b9 | Yes | 230 | 87.0¢ | $187 | — |
| FreeNamesHere0xb5e8…a5f9 | No | 1,009 | 12.4¢ | $187 | — |
| Tingo20260xc1d3…0d96 | Yes | 210 | 86.4¢ | $171 | — |
| Typepluto0x26cc…285f | Yes | 200 | 91.0¢ | $163 | — |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | Yes | 171 | 81.2¢ | $139 | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 1,494 bets |
| The-Defect0xac6a…2ed3 | Yes | 170 | 84.0¢ | $138 | — |
| TTbilly0xc251…b9c3 | No | 700 | 18.8¢ | $129 | Proven+$2.14 per $100 · 166 bets |
| join-in0xbae1…3a47 | No | 696 | 16.5¢ | $129 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 523 | 16.5¢ | $97 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| niprunedfp32fix0x5c29…1c24 | Yes | 116 | 86.9¢ | $94 | — |
| Houzidadi0x4667…5ab2 | Yes | 112 | 89.4¢ | $92 | — |
| audi1010xe280…7a0e | Yes | 112 | 89.0¢ | $92 | — |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Yes | 110 | 85.0¢ | $90 | — |
| thisissocool110xecef…75fa | Yes | 101 | 83.6¢ | $82 | — |
| 1876mengcao0x04a8…4f9c | Yes | 100 | 89.0¢ | $82 | — |
| MadAbyss0xdc15…c33d | Yes | 100 | 86.0¢ | $82 | — |
| LlamaBanana0xe876…c671 | Yes | 100 | 86.0¢ | $82 | — |
| Tablemodule0xa980…1532 | No | 385 | 13.0¢ | $71 | — |
| 9961235780x8878…96ab | No | 383 | 13.0¢ | $71 | — |
| 0x90a9…d921 | No | 374 | 14.0¢ | $69 | — |
| 0xe933…9afc | No | 351 | 12.0¢ | $65 | — |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | Yes | 80 | 88.0¢ | $65 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 79 | 85.7¢ | $64 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xd0ad…b23e | No | 337 | 11.4¢ | $62 | — |
| owldfqw3f0x3be0…9836 | No | 300 | 28.0¢ | $56 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 297 | 17.6¢ | $55 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| 0xbd65…304f | No | 260 | 13.6¢ | $48 | — |
| 0x796f…6b4d | Yes | 57 | 88.4¢ | $46 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 55 | 80.0¢ | $45 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| xfjrj0xc3e4…b0ab | Yes | 50 | 88.0¢ | $41 | — |
| claw-chakala0x5fad…a796 | Yes | 49 | 82.6¢ | $40 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 46 | 84.6¢ | $38 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 41 | 84.1¢ | $33 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,990 bets |
| Vollhorst0xe3a6…8297 | Yes | 34 | 84.7¢ | $28 | — |
| 0x244c…1028 | Yes | 30 | 86.5¢ | $24 | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 129 bets |
| ggoodd55660x845e…39e6 | Yes | 30 | 87.0¢ | $24 | — |
| ymmmmy0x93a7…8842 | Yes | 30 | 80.0¢ | $24 | — |
| JuanDiMabili0x9d2e…ff2c | Yes | 25 | 81.0¢ | $20 | — |
| LeiSuSport0x4f1f…f5ea | Yes | 23 | 87.5¢ | $19 | Losing−$1.67 per $100 · 1,274 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 20 | 0.0¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| JOA20260xc84e…afd3 | No | 80 | 14.5¢ | $15 | — |
| MissRoll0xc493…e103 | No | 77 | 11.4¢ | $14 | — |
| Anson-17663900410820x94af…6bde | No | 77 | 13.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Mozera0xcd9c…9b0a | No | 76 | 10.0¢ | $14 | — |
| lucky777340x4950…6a30 | Yes | 17 | 88.0¢ | $14 | — |
| ktv.politics0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | 16 | 89.0¢ | $13 | — |
| danfragod0xadd2…9d0f | Yes | 16 | 90.0¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xedc5…f800 | Yes | 15 | 88.0¢ | $13 | — |
| aska6660xc2f7…b084 | Yes | 15 | 88.4¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x26b0…b22d | No | 62 | 19.2¢ | $11 | — |
| jiudubishu0x4e52…44e7 | No | 60 | 17.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$4.23 per $100 · 489 bets |
| C.PM0x71a3…3fb4 | No | 60 | 17.4¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x8a28…5f40 | Yes | 13 | 82.6¢ | $11 | — |
| realqxn0x87b4…7492 | No | 59 | 17.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x5c9a…fb12 | Yes | 13 | 83.6¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xcc47…1f7d | Yes | 13 | 92.6¢ | $11 | — |
| geylord200x5937…11da | No | 56 | 18.6¢ | $10 | New81 settled bets |
| greyfacemoon0xb76f…0854 | Yes | 12 | 81.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xbc8c…9430 | Yes | 12 | 82.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xd03f…b29c | No | 50 | 19.0¢ | $9 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | No | 40 | 25.0¢ | $7 | — |
| JaydenChao0xfc90…4243 | No | 38 | 13.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 2ed0xf47f…83a7 | No | 36 | 14.0¢ | $7 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | 33 | 9.3¢ | $6 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 27 | 33.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| shadukered0x81a4…b648 | No | 21 | 15.6¢ | $4 | — |
| flow-trader-at-optiver0x1584…71b6 | No | 20 | 15.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 6,776 bets |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | No | 20 | 10.4¢ | $4 | — |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | No | 20 | 8.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x5986…83e3 | No | 20 | 41.0¢ | $4 | — |
| RichieGolden0x14ef…18b7 | No | 19 | 11.4¢ | $3 | — |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 16 | 13.1¢ | $3 | — |
| striveboy0xa577…a22a | No | 11 | 16.7¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 11 | 11.3¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 28.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,368 bets |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | No | 10 | 25.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,880 bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 33.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| ddd13421b0x1292…b00b | No | 10 | 25.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 9,059 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 10 | 30.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 29,386 bets |
| asdfasdfasdf340x48c5…10fc | No | 10 | 28.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 10,798 bets |
| kk819ddd0x4b58…dd1a | No | 10 | 25.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 7,969 bets |
| ncs023573080x4c0a…c31f | No | 10 | 15.5¢ | $2 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | No | 4 | 22.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.