Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 3 outcomes add up to 98.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 34,550 | 87.1¢ | $28.3K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| goldendoxi0xb276…b331 | Yes | 1,112 | 90.3¢ | $912 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| The-Dove0xfde3…719a |
| Yes |
| 1,035 |
| 81.0¢ |
| $849 |
| — |
| 0xb9b8…38b6 | No | 3,618 | 11.4¢ | $651 | — |
| ChinaCartman0x45b8…1c97 | Yes | 756 | 92.7¢ | $620 | — |
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | Yes | 666 | 84.0¢ | $546 | — |