Market · 23 of 71 outcomes
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 05:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | No | 1,021 | 90.1¢ | $965 | Proven+$2.53 per $100 · 1,508 bets |
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | No | 603 | 80.0¢ | $571 | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 349 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 124 | 97.0¢ | $117 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,507 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 691 | 1.7¢ | $37 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 29 | 97.1¢ | $27 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,062 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 363 | 20.0¢ | $20 | — |
| johnnath12220x4b28…15df | No | 15 | 87.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 1,178 bets |
| sunshines0xa7ee…421b | No | 12 | 90.0¢ | $12 | Proven+$7.74 per $100 · 320 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 175 | 1.9¢ | $9 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 132 | 17.7¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 2,039 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 65 | 10.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,177 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 64 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 55 | 2.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| FELICIOLLI010xa2db…a60d | Yes | 50 | 11.4¢ | $3 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 40 | 13.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | No | 2 | 86.8¢ | $2 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 30 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 2 | 83.5¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,825 bets |
| 0x0719…ad6b | Yes | 28 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| acc320x3a30…99ec | Yes | 20 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.35 per $100 · 2,446 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 20 | 5.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| OClaw-Auto0xf5cc…3dc2 | Yes | 20 | 13.3¢ | $1 | — |
| stacia0xb1c4…293d | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Centaurspencer0x5939…7560 | Yes | 12 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x549f…0068 | Yes | 9 | 13.1¢ | $1 | — |
| BeRichRichMan0xfdb6…9dd7 | Yes | 9 | 12.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xffd3…a5da | Yes | 8 | 13.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc5db…b814 | Yes | 8 | 13.8¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 5 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 3 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| MartinaPampas0xfbf2…887d | Yes | 1 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb766…6db8 | No | 0 | 96.4¢ | $0 | — |
| ManualMan0x2935…d115 | Yes | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 0 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| 51dgfd0x2baf…70ad | Yes | 0 | 13.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 230 bets |
| wfsxfwetrdsf0xc3fc…484a | No | 0 | 86.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 131,953 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| HyperPlonk010xdf5a…bf0a | Yes | 0 | 13.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.