Market · 25 of 71 outcomes

Josh Hawley

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 00:46 UTC. Not financial advice.

Market · 25 of 71 outcomes

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?

Chance of Yes

59 more outcomes in this event.

None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.

Proven traders, money on each side

1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.

Top holders after netting each trader's Yes shares against their No shares
Trader	Side	Shares	Bought at	Worth now	Record
simpleman0xbe89…b88c	No	1,021	90.1¢	$966	Proven+$2.53 per $100 · 1,508 bets
Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6	No	603	80.0¢	$571	Break-even

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

Decided by: Resolves "Yes" if Josh Hawley announces he is running for President in the 2028 US presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.§1
No filing needed: An announcement alone triggers "Yes", whether or not a nomination was filed, or is filed later.§3
Counted: An announcement by Josh Hawley that he is running for President in the 2028 election.§1
Source: Official statements by Josh Hawley (such as speech or social media); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§4
Closes: Jan 1, 2027 · 04:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 00:46 UTC. Not financial advice.