Market · 9 of 36 outcomes
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 1,660 | 88.0¢ | $1.57K | New69 settled bets |
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | No | 1,612 | 92.6¢ | $1.52K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 723 bets |
| 0x6ad0…2ab9 | No | 371 | 27.7¢ | $351 | New13 settled bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 302 | 92.4¢ | $285 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| knrad0x4d01…1645 | No | 201 | 92.6¢ | $190 | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 106 | 92.8¢ | $100 | — |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 100 | 65.9¢ | $95 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| Yolotrading0x9f42…e44e | No | 100 | 95.2¢ | $95 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 837 | 29.4¢ | $46 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 40 | 93.4¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,990 bets |
| MP12610xdc4b…b8af | No | 40 | 91.3¢ | $38 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | No | 37 | 65.9¢ | $35 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| NoDoubtD0x5170…6c45 | Yes | 619 | 73.5¢ | $34 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 534 | 42.0¢ | $29 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 29 | 89.0¢ | $27 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 490 | 36.6¢ | $27 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 390 | 6.6¢ | $21 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| 0x2712…eb71 | No | 22 | 46.0¢ | $21 | — |
| OdileDeray0xecc5…5fde | Yes | 300 | 10.0¢ | $17 | — |
| heyocopytraders0x37b0…3646 | Yes | 264 | 29.7¢ | $15 | — |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | No | 15 | 47.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| 0x5964…23f5 | No | 14 | 89.4¢ | $13 | — |
| batin0780x29fc…f598 | Yes | 200 | 8.0¢ | $11 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 199 | 64.1¢ | $11 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| ticklebutt0x84f0…1f79 | No | 10 | 26.8¢ | $9 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 9 | 95.6¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 148 | 5.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| hopolopop0x5735…239d | Yes | 100 | 73.8¢ | $6 | — |
| lpbcq0xd979…4a18 | Yes | 100 | 5.2¢ | $6 | — |
| balerinacapuchina0xd86d…648d | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 220 bets |
| ohohoh1230xa750…ec52 | Yes | 86 | 70.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xdce7…8bcf | No | 5 | 95.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | No | 4 | 29.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 70 | 75.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xd10a…b9cd | No | 4 | 86.0¢ | $4 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 56 | 62.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 5.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 44 | 59.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 38 | 7.0¢ | $2 | — |
| plyhu0x91d3…06e3 | Yes | 30 | 79.0¢ | $2 | — |
| HuMani10xd31d…4d1b | Yes | 30 | 32.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | 2 | 65.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0e19…3f79 | No | 2 | 95.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 1 | 95.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcf55…0329 | Yes | 23 | 10.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.Gregory0x9868…cfd8 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | No | 1 | 64.9¢ | $1 | — |
| FidubitBot0xb556…b5e5 | No | 1 | 92.3¢ | $1 | — |
| jiehfof0xcd3e…ae81 | Yes | 14 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 14 | 8.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| chuanpi0x27a4…d44c | Yes | 13 | 75.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb642…4aaf | Yes | 13 | 74.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa2dc…a089 | Yes | 6 | 81.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 0 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | Yes | 3 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 0 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x804e…18b4 | Yes | 1 | 82.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| FrozenTomato0x9d06…c4e8 | No | 0 | 93.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 67sfds0xa3dd…975f | Yes | 0 | 70.0¢ | $0 | — |
| shangri-laa0x2940…304c | No | 0 | 40.8¢ | $0 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | No | 0 | 28.8¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | 0 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 73.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play