Market · 3 of 36 outcomes
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | No | 3,522 | 55.5¢ | $2.11K | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| nuiuh0x0181…e9b3 | Yes | 1,907 | 53.8¢ | $763 | New0 settled bets |
| Gigachain16220x976a…e8ec | No | 945 | 56.7¢ | $567 | — |
| azrezrzeez0x2f4c…c70d | Yes | 1,253 | 51.3¢ | $501 | — |
| Apssr0xc787…6a7d | No | 765 | 66.2¢ | $459 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | No | 660 | 46.4¢ | $396 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| numero770x2100…930c | Yes | 900 | 45.0¢ | $360 | — |
| Boogy0xa82a…be8c | No | 548 | 53.1¢ | $329 | Losing−$10.47 per $100 · 273 bets |
| TheWorldGoesCrazy0xaf75…262f | No | 479 | 63.6¢ | $287 | — |
| resuildde0xa9c9…43d2 | No | 465 | 57.0¢ | $279 | New1 settled bet |
| qqqmmmccc0x6d72…a399 | No | 462 | 67.9¢ | $277 | — |
| eleazar0x6e24…8266 | No | 370 | 62.5¢ | $222 | Positive+$4.60 per $100 · 442 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | Yes | 474 | 41.4¢ | $189 | New69 settled bets |
| Johnshaft0x2628…ae00 | Yes | 465 | 44.0¢ | $186 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 300 | 47.0¢ | $180 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| Tonnic0x150c…1c8d | Yes | 431 | 36.2¢ | $172 | — |
| jiehfof0xcd3e…ae81 | Yes | 380 | 38.5¢ | $152 | — |
| Boudiboudou0x4a61…de2b | Yes | 331 | 47.8¢ | $132 | — |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | No | 209 | 55.9¢ | $125 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 723 bets |
| Montecarlaw0xb524…0808 | Yes | 300 | 43.7¢ | $120 | Positive+$1.86 per $100 · 1,033 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 272 | 40.8¢ | $109 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| rbPDJwpU0x7cd5…2549 | No | 165 | 61.5¢ | $99 | — |
| cervlord0x7cdc…5759 | No | 164 | 62.0¢ | $98 | — |
| AlphaGang0xda28…469b | Yes | 202 | 40.6¢ | $81 | — |
| Alphaparie0x4c0e…cf0f | Yes | 200 | 47.0¢ | $80 | — |
| 0x4470…143c | Yes | 200 | 49.8¢ | $80 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 191 | 41.7¢ | $76 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| ClemWine0xbd35…eb6d | Yes | 159 | 49.6¢ | $63 | — |
| sla12640xbcdb…87d9 | No | 101 | 61.0¢ | $61 | — |
| hopolopop0x5735…239d | Yes | 150 | 51.0¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x186e…af96 | Yes | 123 | 45.9¢ | $49 | — |
| Avivtel0x7489…4c80 | Yes | 123 | 37.9¢ | $49 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | No | 80 | 54.0¢ | $48 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| feujprecurseur0xb3dc…ddd9 | Yes | 119 | 37.8¢ | $48 | — |
| nikos.paixtis0xf841…b2eb | Yes | 117 | 47.9¢ | $47 | — |
| Rulles0xe650…303e | Yes | 113 | 45.2¢ | $45 | — |
| Romec0xc765…ef3b | Yes | 105 | 48.7¢ | $42 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 103 | 35.9¢ | $41 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| navyva0x0a7a…e55c | No | 68 | 60.2¢ | $41 | — |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 100 | 31.0¢ | $40 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| unvarying33050xe7e1…e385 | Yes | 100 | 41.1¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x78cd…c82c | Yes | 91 | 39.2¢ | $36 | — |
| Fuentes310x6f40…eb64 | No | 60 | 56.7¢ | $36 | Proven+$2.70 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
| nidrac20xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | 88 | 38.5¢ | $35 | — |
| BirT-zx0xe12c…f9fc | No | 58 | 49.0¢ | $35 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 85 | 30.0¢ | $34 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| YourewrongNooffence0xb130…b18f | Yes | 81 | 44.2¢ | $32 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 51 | 48.0¢ | $30 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 61.0¢ | $30 | — |
| peut-etreELM0x800a…c0ee | Yes | 70 | 39.4¢ | $28 | — |
| ImNotBetting0x686d…1a68 | Yes | 64 | 40.0¢ | $26 | — |
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | No | 42 | 61.0¢ | $25 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 66,345 bets |
| Chococremeux0x08a6…f3cc | No | 41 | 52.8¢ | $24 | — |
| Poorthing0x70ce…1954 | Yes | 56 | 49.4¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x22a9…dce8 | Yes | 54 | 38.2¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x2544…90b3 | Yes | 41 | 50.0¢ | $16 | — |
| JD930x95ad…67bb | No | 26 | 58.0¢ | $16 | — |
| julien30030xe0cc…a77c | Yes | 33 | 38.0¢ | $13 | — |
| sety0x0a2a…6eab | Yes | 30 | 37.9¢ | $12 | — |
| CloudCactus0x0c99…87cf | Yes | 30 | 48.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$4.34 per $100 · 1,156 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 30 | 34.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| ticklebutt0x84f0…1f79 | No | 19 | 64.2¢ | $12 | — |
| hexos70xadc6…b525 | Yes | 28 | 36.9¢ | $11 | — |
| alualu280x16ab…c87e | No | 17 | 60.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Gl2eEn0xdf94…972c | No | 17 | 60.0¢ | $10 | — |
| RiriLoulou0x949d…2c63 | Yes | 25 | 40.6¢ | $10 | — |
| vincentmad0x75b9…20d1 | Yes | 25 | 41.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Francric0xc168…5398 | No | 16 | 62.0¢ | $10 | — |
| johnnyboi555550x74d4…8fcd | No | 16 | 59.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x8f7d…07c2 | Yes | 23 | 64.9¢ | $9 | — |
| Stefnc0xd515…2c54 | No | 16 | 64.9¢ | $9 | — |
| Tatabow0xc93c…3988 | No | 15 | 65.9¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x4956…4cab | Yes | 23 | 45.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x9c00…261e | No | 15 | 56.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 15 | 61.7¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 22 | 42.5¢ | $9 | — |
| Petitpere0x5824…8635 | Yes | 21 | 49.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Poorasfbutb2b0x9dc1…580f | Yes | 20 | 45.0¢ | $8 | — |
| tunisie0xdee3…2c13 | Yes | 20 | 50.0¢ | $8 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 14 | 63.0¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| cryptomad890x892f…a6b0 | Yes | 20 | 52.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Bobov0xb808…2d48 | No | 12 | 62.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xdac4…ae96 | No | 12 | 59.0¢ | $7 | — |
| colorfultortise110x6b16…6936 | Yes | 18 | 44.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$5.52 per $100 · 990 bets |
| 0x83c4…ac70 | Yes | 15 | 40.0¢ | $6 | — |
| onotole0x5c1b…d915 | No | 10 | 49.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Xavnorge0xa98f…33b3 | No | 10 | 62.0¢ | $6 | — |
| sushilord0xe6d4…22da | No | 9 | 54.0¢ | $6 | — |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | No | 9 | 48.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2e8f…5a92 | No | 8 | 61.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x929f…379b | No | 8 | 68.9¢ | $5 | — |
| presidentendup0x36d8…2e90 | No | 8 | 62.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4e9e…6f3e | No | 5 | 61.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.98 per $100 · 1,237 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 4 | 49.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 56sdfdsfs0x610e…b852 | No | 4 | 63.7¢ | $3 | — |
| YesManLucky380x91e2…3c51 | No | 3 | 63.9¢ | $2 | — |
| AlfredCh0x9d08…b858 | No | 2 | 60.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf768…8c02 | No | 2 | 62.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 1ee70xff7d…11bb | No | 2 | 64.9¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play