Market · 15 of 15 outcomes
Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 05:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLOTH0x8de6…2938 | No | 351 | 96.5¢ | $342 | Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 1,145 bets |
| BISTURI0x22e4…66e5 | No | 217 | 93.3¢ | $212 | — |
| 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | 213 | 94.2¢ | $208 | — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 25 | 89.4¢ | $24 | New69 settled bets |
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | No | 18 | 89.4¢ | $17 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 224 | 6.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 198 | 3.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| OriTheSon0x060a…3e71 | Yes | 98 | 4.2¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 83 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 70 | 5.3¢ | $2 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| jonrbzhqbwnc0x838b…46ed | Yes | 60 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 49 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,507 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 11 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 6 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 5 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| FoolAndHisMoney0x85df…fb48 | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.