Market · 15 of 15 outcomes
Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 03:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLOTH0x8de6…2938 | No | 351 | 96.5¢ | $342 | Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 1,145 bets |
| BISTURI0x22e4…66e5 | No | 217 | 93.3¢ | $212 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 213 |
| 94.2¢ |
| $208 |
| — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 25 | 89.4¢ | $24 | New69 settled bets |
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | No | 18 | 89.4¢ | $17 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 224 | 6.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |