Market · 23 of 36 outcomes
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | No | 1,593 | 91.8¢ | $1.53K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | No | 586 | 90.7¢ | $562 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| Tonnic0x150c…1c8d | No | 386 | 93.6¢ | $370 | — |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 341 | 94.6¢ | $327 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| 0xc7fb…e5fd | No | 324 | 95.1¢ | $311 | Proven+$5.88 per $100 · 1,013 bets |
| 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | 106 | 94.9¢ | $101 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 98 | 92.9¢ | $94 | — |
| 0x01ee…b9df | Yes | 1,585 | 7.5¢ | $66 | New6 settled bets |
| 0x91c3…409f | No | 46 | 93.7¢ | $44 | New0 settled bets |
| FlorentF0x0993…eceb | Yes | 760 | 6.8¢ | $32 | — |
| peut-etreELM0x800a…c0ee | No | 30 | 92.9¢ | $29 | — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 30 | 94.2¢ | $29 | New69 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 28 | 94.7¢ | $27 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,999 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 254 | 8.2¢ | $11 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,087 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 224 | 5.9¢ | $9 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x9168…b224 | No | 9 | 98.5¢ | $9 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 200 | 4.4¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| 0x31a6…0632 | No | 8 | 98.8¢ | $7 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 176 | 3.7¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| qcp10x9f44…7470 | No | 6 | 98.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xfde5…5966 | No | 6 | 98.8¢ | $6 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 105 | 6.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 59 | 5.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,862+ bets · updating |
| romanew-crypto0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | 50 | 12.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe9bd…d5bb | No | 2 | 98.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x52bb…593e | No | 1 | 98.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 34 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 6,087 bets |
| YesManLucky380x91e2…3c51 | No | 1 | 96.3¢ | $1 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 28 | 11.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | Yes | 26 | 93.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| 0x13af…a807 | No | 1 | 98.5¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 25 | 6.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| gramschmidt0x6538…9392 | No | 1 | 96.5¢ | $1 | New96 settled bets |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | No | 1 | 98.2¢ | $1 | — |
| justmeandme0x17f4…9d7f | Yes | 20 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 19 | 8.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 3,362 bets |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 15 | 8.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 6 | 17.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| silverstud0x3a43…67dc | Yes | 5 | 16.5¢ | $0 | — |
| rondon890x2177…3fb4 | Yes | 3 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 226 bets |
| 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | 1 | 94.2¢ | $0 | — |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 6.2¢ | $0 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 0 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 7.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play