Market · 8 of 36 outcomes
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | No | 1,619 | 93.9¢ | $1.53K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 713 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 1,471 | 92.1¢ | $1.39K | New69 settled bets |
| Elyotus0x27af…6ec8 | No | 300 | 94.2¢ | $283 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 140 | 92.5¢ | $132 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| nidrac20xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | 1,827 | 5.9¢ | $106 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 107 | 94.5¢ | $101 | — |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 66 | 89.0¢ | $62 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| waarper0x3b59…5c98 | Yes | 977 | 7.5¢ | $57 | — |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | No | 37 | 94.0¢ | $35 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 27 | 89.0¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 278 | 11.4¢ | $16 | — |
| Felixoooz0xe0da…33e1 | Yes | 246 | 7.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xf60b…7291 | No | 11 | 95.6¢ | $10 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 150 | 6.4¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 92 | 5.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| onyxt0x9de3…b489 | Yes | 88 | 11.4¢ | $5 | — |
| balerinacapuchina0xd86d…648d | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 220 bets |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | No | 4 | 87.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| maitrezan0xe87a…b968 | Yes | 60 | 8.6¢ | $3 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 3 | 91.5¢ | $3 | — |
| TcommeTuche0x0b00…c92e | Yes | 26 | 5.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 4fxt82eutez00x87bf…a0c8 | No | 2 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 21 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xab7e…1a5f | No | 1 | 95.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4805…51ac | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 7 | 6.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| gramschmidt0x6538…9392 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 5 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 91.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 93.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play