Market · 31 of 36 outcomes
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jydyjyd0x1c4c…8d85 | No | 830 | 97.1¢ | $801 | — |
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | No | 114 | 95.9¢ | $110 | — |
| Elyotus0x27af…6ec8 | No | 42 | 96.4¢ | $40 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 433 | 3.1¢ | $15 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 12 | 95.2¢ | $11 | New69 settled bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 271 | 3.2¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,282 bets |
| Szarymowiar0x5eae…ea4a | No | 8 | 96.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 84 | 4.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 2 | 96.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 61 | 5.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 0x257b…2cbc | No | 2 | 97.8¢ | $2 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 50 | 5.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 32 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 28 | 4.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 21 | 6.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | Yes | 20 | 6.6¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 10 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 93.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xee36…fc18 | No | 0 | 96.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play