Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | Yes | 549,632 | 64.1¢ | $483K | Proven+$11.67 per $100 · 470 bets |
| SuperavitFiscal0xeb49…693e | Yes | 436,502 | 52.5¢ | $384K | Losing−$5.42 per $100 · 344 bets |
| Jjjh776600x212f…7fd2 | Yes | 378,440 | 83.9¢ | $333K | New47 settled bets |
| 657657570x2974…9c23 | Yes | 246,886 | 53.8¢ | $217K | Proven+$6.14 per $100 · 374 bets |
| yuahldj0x27b0…209b | Yes | 230,000 | 87.9¢ | $202K | New10 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 213,418 | 48.7¢ | $188K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,397 bets |
| LulaVaiPerder0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | 207,798 | 55.2¢ | $183K | Proven+$9.82 per $100 · 434 bets |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | Yes | 180,328 | 85.7¢ | $159K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| themain0x2f9d…deb3 | Yes | 167,704 | 70.1¢ | $147K | New40 settled bets |
| Ed23570xb1ce…ced2 | Yes | 158,387 | 36.0¢ | $139K | New3 settled bets |
| roublewang0x88f3…e7fb | Yes | 127,104 | 86.2¢ | $112K | New4 settled bets |
| ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1c | Yes | 120,816 | 3.1¢ | $106K | Proven+$4.52 per $100 · 1,293 bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 118,582 | 37.2¢ | $104K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 728 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | Yes | 104,665 | 86.4¢ | $92.1K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | Yes | 96,652 | 67.5¢ | $85K | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 1,758 bets |
| Nicklashark130xcb25…5ab5 | Yes | 82,407 | 26.8¢ | $72.5K | New17 settled bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | Yes | 79,082 | 25.9¢ | $69.6K | Proven+$5.39 per $100 · 2,338 bets |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 78,529 | 5.2¢ | $69.1K | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| Lula.desistiu0x9b97…6a09 | Yes | 76,729 | 29.2¢ | $67.5K | New61 settled bets |
| 0xa2dc…49f9 | Yes | 76,100 | 63.1¢ | $66.9K | New53 settled bets |
| pianomaster0x037c…4d62 | Yes | 74,113 | 54.1¢ | $65.2K | New0 settled bets |
| mr.ozi0x614d…1546 | Yes | 70,000 | 65.5¢ | $61.6K | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 2,287 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 65,552 | 86.5¢ | $57.7K | New6 settled bets |
| eventalpha260x2e7b…bd8c | No | 476,421 | 21.3¢ | $57.4K | New0 settled bets |
| Batundi0x9604…fc1d | Yes | 64,419 | 84.5¢ | $56.7K | Losing−$2.39 per $100 · 175 bets |
| symplya360x875c…bdec | Yes | 63,196 | 28.1¢ | $55.6K | New2 settled bets |
| fortune7770xc342…c015 | Yes | 60,182 | 47.2¢ | $52.9K | New1 settled bet |
| mazan0x802b…712e | Yes | 59,983 | 85.1¢ | $52.8K | New26 settled bets |
| 0x2c33…0563 | Yes | 54,788 | 86.3¢ | $48.2K | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 14,034 bets |
| tourists0xc6dd…4b9f | Yes | 52,776 | 71.3¢ | $46.4K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 929 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 52,657 | 23.3¢ | $46.3K | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| NSYGG0x7fa9…846c | Yes | 52,465 | 85.2¢ | $46.1K | New19 settled bets |
| 0xc1a9…e2db | Yes | 50,398 | 57.4¢ | $44.3K | Proven+$7.47 per $100 · 303 bets |
| Eire0xda66…3f38 | Yes | 50,000 | 85.0¢ | $44K | Losing−$8.38 per $100 · 434 bets |
| Melody6260xecaa…77a9 | Yes | 49,485 | 65.3¢ | $43.5K | Break-even−$0.04 per $100 · 1,637 bets |
| 0x1651…d26c | Yes | 46,643 | 21.1¢ | $41K | New0 settled bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | Yes | 42,206 | 82.6¢ | $37.1K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| segment30xa10c…b2de | Yes | 41,727 | 69.8¢ | $36.7K | New2 settled bets |
| Voz0xec69…cbe5 | Yes | 40,181 | 38.7¢ | $35.3K | Proven+$2.21 per $100 · 400 bets |
| Ronaldo21000x71ca…3501 | Yes | 37,776 | 84.7¢ | $33.2K | Proven+$4.30 per $100 · 567 bets |
| OswaldMcFurther0xd79a…7e51 | Yes | 37,259 | 61.2¢ | $32.8K | New72 settled bets |
| Abkhauae0x7c75…4d1d | No | 271,234 | 45.1¢ | $32.7K | New0 settled bets |
| 456ythgbvcadscvb0xeb6f…25f0 | Yes | 36,227 | 59.2¢ | $31.9K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 1,517 bets |
| anonvt0xff09…1347 | Yes | 35,707 | 28.1¢ | $31.4K | New0 settled bets |
| 0x6764…49c4 | Yes | 34,947 | 62.7¢ | $30.7K | New22 settled bets |
| dromedaryy0x6575…b198 | Yes | 34,430 | 59.6¢ | $30.3K | New85 settled bets |
| alldoubt0xd69a…74c3 | Yes | 33,447 | 75.1¢ | $29.4K | New41 settled bets |
| Golfinho100x5453…65ce | Yes | 33,185 | 40.6¢ | $29.2K | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 321 bets |
| arjennnnn0x24de…83cb | Yes | 32,500 | 23.2¢ | $28.6K | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| ALMP000xeb4a…a229 | Yes | 31,229 | 45.9¢ | $27.5K | New0 settled bets |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | Yes | 29,729 | 55.0¢ | $26.1K | Proven+$9.46 per $100 · 748 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 26,317 | 76.4¢ | $23.1K | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| SaylorMoon0xecb1…5da3 | No | 59,016 | 14.2¢ | $7.11K | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,891 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 44,769 | 24.6¢ | $5.39K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| charutao0x6296…dcf0 | No | 41,264 | 23.3¢ | $4.97K | New3 settled bets |
| SunlineTicker0x4df3…788f | Yes | 5,635 | 69.0¢ | $4.96K | Positive+$1.93 per $100 · 16,125 bets |
| xcaiox0x7478…4003 | No | 41,019 | 79.3¢ | $4.94K | Proven+$7.09 per $100 · 278 bets |
| rhyper0x9df2…49a2 | No | 29,935 | 33.3¢ | $3.61K | New0 settled bets |
| pantomime0xd039…2532 | No | 29,478 | 12.1¢ | $3.55K | Proven+$2.11 per $100 · 3,792 bets |
| 0xc9c8…44fb | No | 27,000 | 17.0¢ | $3.25K | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| LinaBell0xf0ed…47d8 | No | 25,000 | 14.3¢ | $3.01K | Positive+$4.86 per $100 · 2,415 bets |
| placeholdernamehere0x75e1…3a26 | No | 22,992 | 18.2¢ | $2.77K | New38 settled bets |
| Brbrbrbr0021000x5634…ecfc | No | 22,047 | 29.5¢ | $2.66K | New29 settled bets |
| sapocego230xb308…7adb | No | 21,687 | 35.9¢ | $2.61K | New1 settled bet |
| AlphaBetaGamma23570x5652…00c9 | No | 21,000 | 13.0¢ | $2.53K | Proven+$5.60 per $100 · 868 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | No | 18,887 | 16.9¢ | $2.28K | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 886 bets |
| Jvbarr0s0xb711…31cf | No | 15,719 | 41.1¢ | $1.89K | New0 settled bets |
| X108X0xdcab…6289 | No | 15,454 | 15.2¢ | $1.86K | New0 settled bets |
| Pauldallagnoljr0xb710…5763 | No | 12,960 | 16.2¢ | $1.56K | New0 settled bets |
| jessehh0x0aa0…51db | No | 12,774 | 53.0¢ | $1.54K | New0 settled bets |
| Humble-Monk0x2200…0f2d | No | 12,750 | 13.7¢ | $1.54K | Proven+$5.72 per $100 · 965 bets |
| BeetRoot0x0f07…b296 | No | 12,525 | 22.1¢ | $1.51K | New49 settled bets |
| trindade220x6abf…7d08 | No | 12,106 | 39.2¢ | $1.46K | New0 settled bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | No | 10,437 | 11.5¢ | $1.26K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| 0xbd46…cc1c | No | 9,977 | 28.8¢ | $1.2K | New1 settled bet |
| fraj0la0xe8b0…cc4b | No | 9,280 | 16.2¢ | $1.12K | Positive+$4.02 per $100 · 439 bets |
| diadjaid0x784f…5df9 | No | 9,250 | 49.1¢ | $1.11K | Positive+$4.39 per $100 · 527 bets |
| aldtrader0x2b50…8f3f | No | 8,536 | 16.5¢ | $1.03K | New21 settled bets |
| brenopoubel0xe8d5…dc65 | No | 7,975 | 12.5¢ | $961 | — |
| disputequant0x6e13…a801 | No | 7,875 | 53.8¢ | $949 | New98 settled bets |
| RVGym0x8b9e…6838 | No | 6,980 | 16.5¢ | $841 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 158 bets |
| joaocarlos22220x074e…81d5 | No | 6,743 | 33.2¢ | $812 | New0 settled bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | No | 6,666 | 11.9¢ | $803 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| Albedo000x160d…6f25 | No | 6,611 | 35.5¢ | $797 | Losing−$6.18 per $100 · 3,947 bets |
| chookachook0xa84b…5602 | No | 6,516 | 16.5¢ | $785 | New0 settled bets |
| matheus.antunes0xeb15…bbbc | No | 6,293 | 15.9¢ | $758 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x0fca…90de | No | 6,013 | 40.0¢ | $725 | New96 settled bets |
| seal70x2b9d…adc0 | No | 6,000 | 16.6¢ | $723 | Proven+$9.63 per $100 · 898 bets |
| mistermime0xcd65…10d6 | No | 5,902 | 38.4¢ | $711 | New0 settled bets |
| Huenio0xabb6…0505 | No | 5,813 | 37.1¢ | $701 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xd5c4…188e | No | 5,583 | 17.9¢ | $673 | New32 settled bets |
| pullthetrigger0x0b0f…8cd9 | No | 5,227 | 41.9¢ | $630 | Positive+$2.05 per $100 · 323 bets |
| 0xfb9d…d78e | No | 5,025 | 64.6¢ | $605 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 1,190 bets |
| zlt010x1044…d67a | No | 4,995 | 74.6¢ | $602 | Losing−$1.85 per $100 · 4,795 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 4,824 | 39.0¢ | $581 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| jopechopp0x6999…1678 | No | 4,732 | 39.9¢ | $570 | New1 settled bet |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 4,615 | 20.8¢ | $556 | Losing−$17.24 per $100 · 7,255 bets |
| farik180x01ad…90f6 | No | 4,578 | 12.2¢ | $552 | Proven+$2.65 per $100 · 280 bets |
| Peupo0120x0e97…8ffa | No | 4,308 | 24.3¢ | $519 | Proven+$4.97 per $100 · 1,403 bets |
| Bursted0x843e…d2f3 | No | 4,162 | 37.8¢ | $502 | New6 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.