Market · 2 of 36 outcomes
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursted0x843e…d2f3 | Yes | 1,139 | 44.9¢ | $564 | New6 settled bets |
| Fuentes310x6f40…eb64 | Yes | 1,073 | 48.5¢ | $531 | Proven+$2.70 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
| Bettingcryptofr0xf5aa…fd4a | No | 800 | 56.0¢ | $404 | New31 settled bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 350 | 59.1¢ | $177 | New69 settled bets |
| Montecarlaw0xb524…0808 | No | 300 | 53.0¢ | $152 | Positive+$1.86 per $100 · 1,033 bets |
| sety0x0a2a…6eab | No | 300 | 52.0¢ | $151 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 300 | 39.0¢ | $148 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| Donintello0x1d38…2078 | No | 253 | 55.3¢ | $128 | Positive+$2.49 per $100 · 141 bets |
| Whitory0xd8ba…2a38 | No | 200 | 60.0¢ | $101 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 184 | 55.8¢ | $93 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| Johnshaft0x2628…ae00 | No | 183 | 55.5¢ | $93 | — |
| Toussus0xad81…f57f | No | 166 | 61.1¢ | $84 | — |
| MoonShootBets0x6491…74b2 | Yes | 150 | 47.6¢ | $74 | — |
| NoDoubtD0x5170…6c45 | Yes | 143 | 34.8¢ | $71 | — |
| qqqmmmccc0x6d72…a399 | Yes | 122 | 44.3¢ | $60 | Losing−$2.27 per $100 · 4,820 bets |
| pierrepro0x16f6…a135 | Yes | 116 | 44.0¢ | $58 | — |
| Pixwan0xabc1…2971 | Yes | 110 | 45.0¢ | $54 | — |
| 0x01ee…b9df | No | 100 | 51.0¢ | $51 | New6 settled bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 100 | 51.0¢ | $51 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 85 | 54.9¢ | $43 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| vincentmad0x75b9…20d1 | No | 56 | 54.9¢ | $28 | — |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | No | 50 | 50.0¢ | $25 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | 50 | 51.0¢ | $25 | — |
| BAO958890x300c…6a92 | Yes | 50 | 44.0¢ | $25 | Proven+$4.48 per $100 · 1,903 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 49 | 5.0¢ | $24 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | No | 35 | 51.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | No | 33 | 44.6¢ | $17 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 723 bets |
| Jocoh0xf69a…90f7 | Yes | 26 | 47.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Chococremeux0x08a6…f3cc | No | 25 | 59.1¢ | $12 | — |
| kingtyrone0x8ef1…4f92 | No | 20 | 59.0¢ | $10 | — |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Gl2eEn0xdf94…972c | No | 18 | 56.0¢ | $9 | — |
| ktv.politics0xc2d7…deb5 | No | 16 | 57.3¢ | $8 | — |
| ThomasSDCC0x2d08…228e | Yes | 16 | 63.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Oklysh0x32d4…ae90 | Yes | 12 | 44.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 11 | 45.5¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ticklebutt0x84f0…1f79 | No | 11 | 67.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 10 | 44.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| bibou320xc120…245c | No | 7 | 58.0¢ | $4 | — |
| genestealer0x3320…c9e7 | Yes | 7 | 44.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 7 | 42.5¢ | $3 | — |
| Gigachain16220x976a…e8ec | No | 5 | 51.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 5 | 53.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | No | 4 | 52.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf768…8c02 | No | 3 | 60.0¢ | $2 | — |
| l1lbg0x0131…3a5b | No | 3 | 55.0¢ | $1 | — |
| crypto15m0x73a9…252d | Yes | 2 | 43.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PlumpMe0x5330…43e2 | Yes | 2 | 45.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AlfredCh0x9d08…b858 | No | 2 | 57.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf5e4…471a | No | 1 | 28.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x804e…18b4 | Yes | 1 | 72.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | No | 1 | 41.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 0 | 58.0¢ | $0 | — |
| smarttradder0xea28…3a0b | No | 0 | 57.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play