Market · 1 of 6 outcomes
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | No | 4,987 | 86.2¢ | $4.21K | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,149 bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | No | 4,766 | 82.9¢ | $4.03K | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 3,900 | 89.9¢ | $3.3K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,098 bets |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | No | 2,058 | 82.6¢ | $1.74K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 2,000 | 82.0¢ | $1.69K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | Yes | 5,307 | 10.9¢ | $823 | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| Smart-bettor70x7845…417b | Yes | 4,488 | 14.9¢ | $696 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 525 bets |
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | Yes | 3,804 | 29.7¢ | $590 | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| tywed0xc8e3…6fb0 | No | 600 | 69.0¢ | $507 | — |
| Performance0x17c1…3799 | No | 364 | 84.5¢ | $308 | New22 settled bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | Yes | 1,756 | 31.3¢ | $272 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 2,138 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 308 | 83.0¢ | $261 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 213 | 86.8¢ | $180 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 200 | 83.3¢ | $169 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Aurimas11120x90be…c800 | No | 200 | 64.0¢ | $169 | — |
| 0x022c…4873 | Yes | 1,000 | 17.0¢ | $155 | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 175 | 81.0¢ | $148 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 169 | 56.0¢ | $143 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,975 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 166 | 71.9¢ | $141 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | Yes | 645 | 61.2¢ | $100 | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| 0xc4c1…7a2f | No | 118 | 87.0¢ | $100 | — |
| hebingkuole0x74bf…92b0 | No | 110 | 69.0¢ | $93 | — |
| dayouzi0xa5b5…e8ca | No | 100 | 57.0¢ | $85 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 100 | 82.7¢ | $84 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| HardZix0xf30a…3583 | No | 100 | 68.0¢ | $84 | — |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 465 | 32.0¢ | $72 | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,717 bets |
| 8dcc906a9b0xdbd0…8c1c | Yes | 445 | 17.2¢ | $69 | Losing−$19.90 per $100 · 244 bets |
| xihongshishoufu0xacc7…18a1 | No | 78 | 57.0¢ | $66 | — |
| yuxiangqiezi0xf4e8…3cff | No | 72 | 57.0¢ | $61 | — |
| publicesefpp0x77d9…4415 | No | 70 | 67.0¢ | $59 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 364 | 9.4¢ | $56 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | Yes | 353 | 14.0¢ | $55 | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 58 | 86.8¢ | $49 | New42 settled bets |
| Snoopy1210x6a82…e2ad | Yes | 314 | 14.0¢ | $49 | — |
| paula0xa0xed86…6ee1 | Yes | 313 | 16.0¢ | $48 | New94 settled bets |
| Debosnys0x7e30…1e50 | No | 50 | 84.0¢ | $42 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 3,054 bets |
| mainternet0xdf54…a81c | Yes | 270 | 43.0¢ | $42 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 260 | 9.0¢ | $40 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 48 | 83.0¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 227 | 15.7¢ | $35 | Losing−$13.38 per $100 · 117 bets |
| zaozaoge0x3676…962a | Yes | 218 | 31.6¢ | $34 | — |
| xiangzhangshu10x0443…dbd4 | No | 38 | 67.0¢ | $32 | — |
| Simon4s0xe8a6…644b | Yes | 200 | 53.0¢ | $31 | — |
| Abladollosac0x3e98…5389 | No | 36 | 83.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$25.76 per $100 · 100 bets |
| CT-test0x5ad6…d276 | No | 30 | 84.0¢ | $26 | New32 settled bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 148 | 13.1¢ | $23 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| japafabricacafe0x1e89…e7ed | No | 24 | 84.4¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 1,639 bets |
| 0x7f6d…f6f6 | No | 24 | 84.4¢ | $20 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 273 bets |
| ClickingButtons70x8029…bafc | No | 24 | 83.0¢ | $20 | — |
| binggan0x3c1a…a84e | Yes | 130 | 43.0¢ | $20 | — |
| paigu0x56c9…55d6 | Yes | 120 | 43.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | No | 21 | 84.8¢ | $18 | Losing−$12.60 per $100 · 4,915 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 20 | 83.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| tony7780xd286…d55d | No | 20 | 83.0¢ | $17 | — |
| Madskillzco0xe5c7…31cc | No | 20 | 44.0¢ | $17 | — |
| MonacoLover0xb8b4…1f6e | No | 17 | 83.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$9.91 per $100 · 139 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 91 | 24.7¢ | $14 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| 0x9480…f463 | No | 16 | 62.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x4eb3…9858 | No | 15 | 66.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Rawdy0xc6fa…51e5 | No | 12 | 83.4¢ | $10 | Losing−$4.74 per $100 · 11,532 bets |
| Nowayfolding0x20b3…d24c | No | 10 | 60.0¢ | $8 | — |
| bpna0x8aed…468f | No | 10 | 73.0¢ | $8 | — |
| ssab110xd892…f028 | No | 10 | 89.5¢ | $8 | — |
| 98132wxc0x9f2a…3706 | Yes | 50 | 47.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xb4f6…eada | Yes | 49 | 30.7¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x846d…8eae | Yes | 45 | 44.0¢ | $7 | — |
| PolyEGG0x60a8…7d37 | Yes | 44 | 30.4¢ | $7 | — |
| QuietEdgeX0xf1fd…e00d | No | 8 | 83.4¢ | $7 | — |
| JEndo0xfb58…39e5 | No | 8 | 86.4¢ | $7 | — |
| pollyg0x394e…c26a | Yes | 43 | 23.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x21d9…c423 | No | 7 | 70.0¢ | $6 | — |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 35 | 11.6¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,062 bets |
| 0x650b…f4ec | No | 6 | 80.0¢ | $5 | — |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | No | 6 | 84.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x8227…b51c | No | 6 | 67.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef0x87d1…3da3 | Yes | 24 | 29.6¢ | $4 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 22 | 22.6¢ | $3 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 19 | 31.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 18 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| joennis0xd85d…3700 | Yes | 15 | 29.8¢ | $2 | — |
| toppro0x86a3…ebd1 | Yes | 15 | 13.0¢ | $2 | — |
| wJhraCcPrd46Tjla0x0b2e…bb34 | Yes | 15 | 10.0¢ | $2 | — |
| bertross0x5fa5…b7a7 | Yes | 15 | 30.0¢ | $2 | — |
| umbrella-labs0x860c…418d | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $2 | — |
| fresh0xd064…c4d1 | Yes | 10 | 57.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ArthurGreen0xd5db…3c45 | Yes | 6 | 28.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.68 per $100 · 1,000 bets |
| notalpha0xe1e0…fe32 | Yes | 6 | 39.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | Yes | 6 | 30.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 49,890+ bets · updating |
| BobbyBrant0x9028…8608 | Yes | 6 | 30.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf1e6…ec92 | Yes | 6 | 36.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0adc…0773 | Yes | 5 | 28.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x69a2…3bee | Yes | 5 | 30.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2305…2717 | Yes | 5 | 21.0¢ | $1 | — |
| earthperson0x16f0…3fe6 | Yes | 5 | 30.0¢ | $1 | — |
| inteletele0x1dfc…fb8e | Yes | 5 | 56.0¢ | $1 | — |
| telecorter0xb5bd…39ce | Yes | 5 | 57.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf4f0…e594 | Yes | 5 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x614d…562f | Yes | 5 | 21.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.