Market · 4 of 36 outcomes
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vietnam70x3ed6…1ba2 | No | 62,676 | 89.5¢ | $53.2K | New0 settled bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 25,544 | 88.3¢ | $21.7K | New69 settled bets |
| Pikassiette0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | 11,864 | 86.0¢ | $10.1K | New0 settled bets |
| Venimous0x8f7b…2a5f | Yes | 59,493 | 11.2¢ | $8.95K | — |
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | No | 10,356 | 87.4¢ | $8.8K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 713 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 4,423 | 70.5¢ | $3.76K | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| resuildde0xa9c9…43d2 | Yes | 14,560 | 12.2¢ | $2.19K | New1 settled bet |
| Thibaud0x970a…7016 | Yes | 13,774 | 22.6¢ | $2.07K | New5 settled bets |
| biboutou0xb014…c6f4 | No | 2,298 | 91.6¢ | $1.95K | New0 settled bets |
| Donny.T0x8190…b247 | No | 1,800 | 86.0¢ | $1.53K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 764 bets |
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | No | 1,660 | 92.7¢ | $1.41K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| boulidard0xb490…0423 | No | 1,462 | 85.2¢ | $1.24K | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 1,357 | 64.5¢ | $1.15K | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0x656b…b5fd | Yes | 5,048 | 9.4¢ | $760 | — |
| 0x3325…e563 | Yes | 4,050 | 7.9¢ | $610 | New19 settled bets |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | No | 700 | 90.6¢ | $595 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| tmaxx690xc6fb…d20a | Yes | 3,315 | 16.4¢ | $499 | — |
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | Yes | 3,000 | 14.0¢ | $451 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 561 bets |
| 0xc7fb…e5fd | Yes | 3,000 | 13.3¢ | $451 | Proven+$5.88 per $100 · 1,013 bets |
| PLYBOTLIAM0x7cd6…b33c | Yes | 2,988 | 9.5¢ | $450 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 443 | 88.0¢ | $376 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| 0xd10e…a44a | Yes | 2,480 | 12.3¢ | $373 | New7 settled bets |
| FlorentF0x0993…eceb | Yes | 2,352 | 15.4¢ | $354 | — |
| jul.br0xb27e…c708 | No | 347 | 89.3¢ | $295 | — |
| JohnP920x9163…82ae | No | 300 | 91.4¢ | $255 | — |
| Boudiboudou0x4a61…de2b | Yes | 1,470 | 18.9¢ | $221 | — |
| 0x06e7…c409 | Yes | 1,434 | 13.9¢ | $216 | — |
| Aveen0xefab…258e | Yes | 1,421 | 14.5¢ | $214 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 200 | 84.1¢ | $170 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| polo12350x38e2…459d | Yes | 1,084 | 9.3¢ | $163 | — |
| williamfj0xfc26…ced3 | Yes | 1,005 | 9.3¢ | $151 | — |
| Monsei0x5488…5dcd | Yes | 974 | 11.0¢ | $147 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 140 | 84.5¢ | $119 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| qjilala0x2bc0…4a48 | Yes | 781 | 15.5¢ | $118 | — |
| MoonShootBets0x6491…74b2 | No | 130 | 88.6¢ | $111 | — |
| jamboninho0xcdbd…aeb3 | Yes | 722 | 15.2¢ | $109 | — |
| 0xdac4…ae96 | Yes | 714 | 14.5¢ | $108 | — |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | No | 121 | 87.6¢ | $103 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| 0xf4dd…6b51 | Yes | 665 | 15.6¢ | $100 | — |
| InsolentBret0x0a87…3e26 | No | 115 | 90.0¢ | $98 | Positive+$1.67 per $100 · 373 bets |
| proto30x7c11…20f4 | No | 112 | 90.0¢ | $95 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 110 | 91.6¢ | $93 | — |
| Apssr0xc787…6a7d | No | 106 | 86.9¢ | $90 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 100 | 85.1¢ | $85 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| den0zis0x0905…9e58 | Yes | 556 | 17.3¢ | $84 | — |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | No | 61 | 90.0¢ | $52 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 58 | 86.0¢ | $49 | — |
| chooker0x0675…15fa | Yes | 317 | 14.7¢ | $48 | — |
| TopGod0x9f07…fbde | Yes | 314 | 13.5¢ | $47 | — |
| KudMor0x1002…bdf0 | Yes | 302 | 3.8¢ | $45 | — |
| 0x307e…a827 | Yes | 264 | 14.5¢ | $40 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 47 | 86.1¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Samji0x9824…d18e | No | 35 | 85.6¢ | $30 | — |
| final-lionel0x2df5…a5b2 | No | 33 | 90.4¢ | $28 | — |
| Sniffle3940x07fd…ee8c | No | 27 | 88.8¢ | $23 | — |
| Pierroprono0x7e35…f1d8 | Yes | 146 | 14.5¢ | $22 | — |
| hopolopop0x5735…239d | Yes | 130 | 10.8¢ | $20 | — |
| M2M20050xeb97…7e99 | Yes | 110 | 15.0¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x1985…0748 | Yes | 86 | 15.6¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x9925…baa3 | Yes | 68 | 7.5¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x17d5…482e | No | 12 | 86.5¢ | $10 | New2 settled bets |
| solder0x727e…8b9d | No | 11 | 87.9¢ | $9 | — |
| clernst0xd202…c6c2 | No | 11 | 90.4¢ | $9 | — |
| sushilord0xe6d4…22da | No | 11 | 90.4¢ | $9 | — |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 82.7¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 83.1¢ | $8 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 83.1¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x66be…f7b0 | Yes | 35 | 14.6¢ | $5 | — |
| zgmzgm0x95b7…c651 | No | 6 | 86.0¢ | $5 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 5 | 86.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x599b…1155 | No | 5 | 86.7¢ | $4 | — |
| EliteBetter0x81c9…4a47 | No | 5 | 84.3¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 1,132 bets |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | No | 5 | 87.9¢ | $4 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 14 | 16.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| KsoGaki0x3f5b…971c | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 12 | 14.5¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | Yes | 10 | 16.5¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | Yes | 10 | 16.5¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 7,353 bets |
| Valouass0x6e36…5374 | No | 1 | 85.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.67 per $100 · 1,644 bets |
| HonorePanisse0x1da5…92ac | No | 1 | 86.2¢ | $1 | — |
| wildboar080xb260…9d59 | No | 1 | 91.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa923…aad8 | Yes | 5 | 11.3¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 4 | 13.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 70asd0xf8d1…e8f6 | Yes | 4 | 5.8¢ | $1 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 1 | 89.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 1 | 93.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xab7e…1a5f | No | 0 | 93.9¢ | $0 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | Yes | 1 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 97.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 5,892 bets |
| Irboz-sama0x9b0b…5e43 | No | 0 | 85.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 517 bets |
| NineLivesCat0x1e31…594b | No | 0 | 89.3¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | 0 | 6.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 0 | 4.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 0 | 9.5¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play