Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0F620xccd8…f4de | No | 55,083 | 64.4¢ | $34.6K | Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 4,444 bets |
| 0xe9f7…00f9 | Yes | 16,712 | 36.1¢ | $6.2K | — |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | 14,711 | 36.4¢ | $5.46K | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 30,440+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 12,655 | 31.0¢ | $4.69K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| onlyinvegas0xc44d…935c | Yes | 10,552 | 18.2¢ | $3.91K | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 6,677 | 35.0¢ | $2.48K | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | Yes | 4,479 | 36.5¢ | $1.66K | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 6,532 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 3,789 | 19.7¢ | $1.41K | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| baseballlover0x08ad…208e | Yes | 3,708 | 6.6¢ | $1.38K | Losing−$3.32 per $100 · 266 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 3,243 | 35.8¢ | $1.2K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| -Guapo--0x8725…eb10 | No | 1,830 | 85.8¢ | $1.15K | Losing−$4.67 per $100 · 13,454 bets |
| janglinjack0x9b29…8373 | Yes | 3,000 | 38.7¢ | $1.11K | — |
| 0xf475…8486 | Yes | 2,810 | 6.0¢ | $1.04K | — |
| MenacingTurtle0x0121…f722 | No | 1,536 | 85.6¢ | $966 | Positive+$3.24 per $100 · 848 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 1,430 | 65.6¢ | $899 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3 | No | 1,366 | 64.3¢ | $859 | Losing−$1.16 per $100 · 914 bets |
| Nicksypoo0xcbb5…5ed9 | No | 1,281 | 78.6¢ | $806 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| 0xa82c…dd71 | Yes | 2,000 | 7.5¢ | $742 | Losing−$11.94 per $100 · 154 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 1,920 | 6.2¢ | $712 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,285 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 1,814 | 19.3¢ | $673 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| TimSheHe0xf006…bb6c | Yes | 1,055 | 6.2¢ | $391 | — |
| Nooserac0xf68a…5b1b | Yes | 967 | 21.1¢ | $359 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 17,553 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 839 | 3.1¢ | $311 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| niceqqqqq30xde44…751f | Yes | 758 | 36.3¢ | $281 | — |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 510 | 36.4¢ | $189 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| ContrarianLong0x36bf…2864 | Yes | 500 | 3.7¢ | $185 | — |
| slimjoe0x5e30…acbf | No | 257 | 76.2¢ | $162 | Break-even+$0.42 per $100 · 33,087 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 364 | 3.5¢ | $135 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | No | 200 | 63.3¢ | $126 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 13,963 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 200 | 64.2¢ | $126 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 181 | 81.0¢ | $114 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 288 | 9.4¢ | $107 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| lilith2750x7db0…8c18 | No | 135 | 88.9¢ | $85 | — |
| echotrader0x5f56…348a | Yes | 225 | 9.9¢ | $84 | — |
| Grinder7770x3613…59c6 | Yes | 200 | 4.1¢ | $74 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 109 | 63.3¢ | $69 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| matt3080x6932…6878 | Yes | 180 | 21.7¢ | $67 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 122 | 3.3¢ | $45 | — |
| toomanywifes0xf29b…ec44 | No | 58 | 97.4¢ | $36 | — |
| footballcannon0x48c3…04e9 | No | 54 | 96.2¢ | $34 | — |
| burundukbob0x261b…d42a | No | 51 | 96.2¢ | $32 | New26 settled bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 50 | 79.5¢ | $31 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 45 | 79.4¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| 0x6fab…c42f | Yes | 75 | 6.5¢ | $28 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 75 | 18.5¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| 0xad09…8429 | No | 43 | 97.4¢ | $27 | — |
| simmmy0x2b9a…f6e9 | Yes | 72 | 8.2¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 70 | 36.1¢ | $26 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| Choby860xc3d5…b033 | Yes | 59 | 4.8¢ | $22 | — |
| LaPlata0xcd08…9f1c | No | 33 | 87.7¢ | $21 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 30 | 94.8¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| DavidShekel0x5452…d448 | No | 30 | 77.7¢ | $19 | Positive+$3.50 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63 | No | 25 | 95.1¢ | $16 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 40,453 bets |
| patrickraymond0x77fe…a83a | No | 18 | 96.7¢ | $11 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 30 | 7.9¢ | $11 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 29 | 6.3¢ | $11 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| rames3s0xf153…c306 | No | 15 | 65.2¢ | $10 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 24 | 6.2¢ | $9 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| 0x476c…ce52 | No | 13 | 88.9¢ | $8 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 3,008 bets |
| vger70x3a90…a100 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $7 | — |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 11 | 70.2¢ | $7 | — |
| webb500080xa245…bf9e | No | 11 | 94.0¢ | $7 | — |
| bernardy0x6894…59d8 | No | 10 | 78.9¢ | $6 | — |
| t57vk6tx8rwb0x3865…fcbe | No | 9 | 95.2¢ | $6 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 15 | 7.8¢ | $6 | — |
| Bearman930xe651…9a33 | Yes | 15 | 8.8¢ | $6 | — |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 13 | 34.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| 0xb636…75fd | Yes | 12 | 8.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xcf27…f35f | No | 7 | 76.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 11 | 35.9¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xd4a9…d5e4 | Yes | 11 | 5.3¢ | $4 | — |
| dddddd112310x7127…c7a2 | No | 6 | 86.4¢ | $4 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 5 | 61.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| xiaojidundun20260x7fca…24c1 | No | 5 | 64.5¢ | $3 | — |
| civil-tent0x7b51…7c93 | Yes | 8 | 4.8¢ | $3 | — |
| plyworke0020x6e63…07ae | Yes | 7 | 20.5¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.05 per $100 · 665 bets |
| ecology020x5715…659a | No | 4 | 90.7¢ | $3 | — |
| deposit570x0100…e91d | No | 3 | 92.5¢ | $2 | — |
| seniorChair0x288c…3b06 | No | 3 | 93.4¢ | $2 | — |
| funxj510xa8fa…71e9 | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Snapvf140xf817…dfc4 | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $2 | — |
| waterx-0x870f…6da1 | No | 3 | 0.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | Yes | 4 | 5.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | No | 2 | 88.6¢ | $2 | — |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 4 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,989 bets |
| noodleRoof0x6af2…c5b1 | Yes | 4 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| black59550x77d2…db8c | Yes | 4 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| strawberrypig0xff92…d07c | No | 2 | 89.1¢ | $1 | — |
| draft5780x25b6…6861 | No | 2 | 93.1¢ | $1 | — |
| inject-turkey0x287e…919a | No | 2 | 93.3¢ | $1 | — |
| wire-elevator0x8c86…1055 | No | 2 | 93.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Ovenloop0xf7f6…01a9 | No | 2 | 93.4¢ | $1 | — |
| hill7250x24e8…1815 | Yes | 3 | 5.4¢ | $1 | — |
| endorse-sight0x294d…8933 | Yes | 3 | 10.2¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.