Market · 2 of 2 outcomes

Cleveland Guardians

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:44 UTC. Not financial advice.

Market · 2 of 2 outcomes

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Chance of Yes

None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.

Proven traders, money on each side

3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.

Top holders after netting each trader's Yes shares against their No shares
Trader	Side	Shares	Bought at	Worth now	Record
0F620xccd8…f4de	No	55,083	64.4¢	$34.7K	Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 4,444 bets
0xe9f7…00f9	Yes	16,712	36.1¢	$6.19K	—

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

Decided by: The market resolves according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.§1
Team eliminated: If it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 ALCS per MLB rules, such as playoff elimination, that market resolves to "No".§2
No winner in time: If the 2026 ALCS is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared in that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other".§3
Counted: The team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.§1
Source: Primary source is official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§4
Closes: Dec 1, 2026 · 04:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:44 UTC. Not financial advice.