Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 1,776 | 82.9¢ | $1.64K | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 322 | 92.9¢ | $298 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Yes | 304 | 91.3¢ | $281 | — |
| 0xab89…3439 | Yes | 106 | 94.2¢ | $98 | — |
| RepublicOfChina0xe947…7a45 | Yes | 76 | 64.2¢ | $70 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 54 | 91.9¢ | $50 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 35 | 89.4¢ | $33 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| ryansxlin950x4b41…652d | Yes | 16 | 91.3¢ | $15 | Losing−$6.64 per $100 · 101 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 168 | 7.8¢ | $13 | — |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | No | 167 | 10.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,183 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 154 | 14.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 11 | 86.9¢ | $11 | — |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | Yes | 11 | 89.1¢ | $11 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 108 | 14.9¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| 322capital0x7e18…872e | Yes | 6 | 95.2¢ | $6 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | No | 68 | 12.4¢ | $5 | — |
| spaceloaf0xa99c…08b4 | Yes | 5 | 89.4¢ | $5 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 5 | 75.0¢ | $5 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 4 | 92.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 52 | 7.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 52 | 9.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 49 | 9.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 41 | 35.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 40 | 7.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| wweat0x270b…e632 | Yes | 2 | 90.4¢ | $2 | — |
| WhyOnlyMe0x1fdd…77a4 | No | 25 | 36.0¢ | $2 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 20 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| 0x745a…64e8 | No | 20 | 26.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 8,448 bets |
| freedom690x9362…d4a4 | No | 20 | 27.0¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 46.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,913 bets |
| browndust0x13de…fd91 | No | 17 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| crypto15m0x73a9…252d | Yes | 1 | 89.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7157…e799 | Yes | 1 | 87.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 417 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 10 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 29,386 bets |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | No | 3 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xec17…0af9 | Yes | 0 | 94.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 9.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| smarterstrat0xe550…6f6e | No | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.