Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 1,776 | 82.9¢ | $1.64K | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 322 | 92.9¢ | $298 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Yes | 304 | 91.3¢ | $281 | — |
| 0xab89…3439 | Yes | 106 | 94.2¢ | $98 | — |
| RepublicOfChina0xe947…7a45 | Yes | 76 | 64.2¢ | $70 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 54 | 91.9¢ | $50 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 131,061 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 3 outcomes add up to 97.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.