Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,600 | 89.6¢ | $1.26K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| MSFTQQQ0x475d…7fb8 | Yes | 647 | 78.7¢ | $508 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 1,888 | 9.5¢ | $406 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Yes | 250 | 79.9¢ | $196 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 100 | 81.0¢ | $79 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 50 | 80.8¢ | $39 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 159 | 21.0¢ | $34 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,099 bets |
| BirT-zx0xe12c…f9fc | Yes | 17 | 83.7¢ | $14 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | 55 | 40.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 12,743 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 52 | 7.7¢ | $11 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 19.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x7157…e799 | Yes | 9 | 82.6¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 417 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 25 | 39.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 0xec17…0af9 | Yes | 6 | 82.6¢ | $5 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 20 | 22.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | No | 20 | 40.0¢ | $4 | — |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | Yes | 5 | 81.0¢ | $4 | — |
| spaceloaf0xa99c…08b4 | Yes | 5 | 82.6¢ | $4 | — |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 10 | 18.6¢ | $2 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | No | 7 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | 1 | 80.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hokinado0xffee…ea6b | No | 0 | 41.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | No | 0 | 19.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.