Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,600 | 89.6¢ | $1.29K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| MSFTQQQ0x475d…7fb8 | Yes | 647 | 78.7¢ | $521 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 1,888 | 9.5¢ | $368 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Yes | 250 | 79.9¢ | $201 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 100 | 81.0¢ | $81 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 50 | 80.8¢ | $40 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 2 outcomes add up to 95.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.